Benfica vs Nacional

Primeira Liga — Portugal

Sun, Apr 12 2026 • 17:00 • Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica

Match Finished

Benfica

2 - 0

Nacional

Expected Goals

2.16 (league 1.45) 0.51 (league 1.23)

1x2 probabilities

home	draw	away
73.3%	17.0%	7.4%

best score tips

2 - 0

16.1%

1 - 0

14.9%

3 - 0

11.6%

Score & goals probability table

		Nacional
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Benfica	0	6.9%	3.5%	0.9%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%
	1	14.9%	7.7%	2.0%	0.3%	0.0%	0.0%
	2	16.1%	8.3%	2.1%	0.4%	0.0%	0.0%
	3	11.6%	5.9%	1.5%	0.3%	0.0%	0.0%
	4	6.3%	3.2%	0.8%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
	5	2.7%	1.4%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	Benfica	Nacional
Played	5	5
Form	73%	27%
Attack	100%	44%
Defense	44%	44%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	10 \| 2	4 \| 0.8
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	5 \| 1	5 \| 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

75%

FT probability

2.5+

53%

FT probability

3.5+

38%

FT probability

BTTS

72%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

2-4

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	Benfica			Nacional
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	14	14	28	14	14	28
Wins	64%	71%	68%	29%	14%	21%
Draws	36%	29%	32%	14%	36%	25%
Loses	0%	0%	0%	57%	50%	54%

BenficaWWWDWDWDWWDWDWWDWWWDWWWWDWWD

NacionalLDLWLLWWDLDLLWDLDLWLDLLLDLLW

League goals

Metric	Benfica			Nacional
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	33	26	59	19	12	31
GF avg	2.4	1.9	2.1	1.4	0.9	1.1
GA total	10	8	18	21	18	39
GA avg	0.7	0.6	0.6	1.5	1.3	1.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	Benfica		Nacional
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	93%	54%	68%	82%
1.5	71%	11%	25%	43%
2.5	32%	0%	14%	11%
3.5	11%	0%	4%	4%
4.5	4%	0%	0%	0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	Benfica			Nacional
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	6	7	13	3	2	5
Failed to score	0	2	2	5	4	9

Penalties

Metric	Benfica	Nacional
Scored (total \| %)	10 \| 100.00%	5 \| 100.00%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	10	5

Streaks

Metric	Benfica	Nacional
Wins	4	2
Draws	1	1
Losses	0	3

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	5-0	0-4	4-0	0-2
Biggest losses	—	—	1-4	3-0
Goals For	5	4	4	2
Goals Against	2	2	4	3

Model comparison

Metric	Benfica	Nacional
Form	73%	27%
Att	71%	29%
Def	50%	50%
Poisson Distribution	80%	20%
H2h	93%	7%
Goals	79%	21%
Total	74.3%	25.7%

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.19 @ Betano

Draw9.55 @ 1xBet

Away21.00 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.42 @ Betano

Under 2.53.10 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.06 @ 188Bet

No1.75 @ Bet365

📊

League standings

Loading standings…

League page • Country page • Venue page • Benfica vs Nacional

footywow.com

Prediction and Tips for:

Benfica

Nacional

Primeira Liga • Portugal • Sun, Apr 12 2026 • 17:00 • Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica

Expected goals

2.16

Benfica xG League Avg: 1.45

Total

2.67

0.51

Nacional xG League Avg: 1.23

1x2 probabilities

Home

73.3%

Draw

17.0%

Away

7.4%

Best score tips

Tip

2 - 0

16.1%

Tip

1 - 0

14.9%

Tip

3 - 0

11.6%

More chances

1.5+

75%

Chance

2.5+

53%

Chance

3.5+

38%

Chance

BTTS

72%

Chance

🟨 Cards

2 - 4

Exp.

#Benfica #Nacional #PrimeiraLiga #footballpredictions #footywow

Expected goals (λ): Benfica = 2.16 (league 1.45), Nacional = 0.51 (league 1.23)

		Nacional
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Benfica	0	6.9%	3.5%	0.9%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%
	1	14.9%	7.7%	2.0%	0.3%	0.0%	0.0%
	2	16.1%	8.3%	2.1%	0.4%	0.0%	0.0%
	3	11.6%	5.9%	1.5%	0.3%	0.0%	0.0%
	4	6.3%	3.2%	0.8%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
	5	2.7%	1.4%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 73.3% · Draw 17.0% · Away win 7.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1

Metric	Benfica	Nacional
Scored (total \| %)	10 \| 100.00%	5 \| 100.00%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	10	5