Sun, Apr 12 2026 • 19:30 •
Estádio António Coimbra da Mota
Expected Goals
0.66 (league 1.45)
2.23 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 9.4% | 17.2% | 70.7% |
best score tips
0 - 2
13.9%
0 - 1
12.4%
0 - 3
10.3%
Score & goals probability table
| FC Porto | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Estoril | 0 | 5.6% | 12.4% | 13.9% | 10.3% | 5.8% | 2.6% |
| 1 | 3.7% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 1.7% | |
| 2 | 1.2% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% | |
| 3 | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Estoril | FC Porto |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 73% |
| Attack | 44% | 100% |
| Defense | 11% | 33% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 12 | 2.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
84%
FT probability
2.5+
59%
FT probability
3.5+
42%
FT probability
BTTS
70%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Estoril | FC Porto | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 14 | 28 | 14 | 14 | 28 |
| Wins | 43% | 29% | 36% | 79% | 86% | 82% |
| Draws | 36% | 14% | 25% | 21% | 7% | 14% |
| Loses | 21% | 57% | 39% | 0% | 7% | 4% |
EstorilDLDLWLLDDWWLDLWWLWWWDLWLDWLL
FC PortoWWWWWWWDWWWWWWWWWWWLDWWWDWWD
League goals
| Metric | Estoril | FC Porto | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 27 | 23 | 50 | 29 | 27 | 56 |
| GF avg | 1.9 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 2.1 | 1.9 | 2.0 |
| GA total | 19 | 28 | 47 | 6 | 7 | 13 |
| GA avg | 1.4 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Estoril | FC Porto | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 71% | 82% | 96% | 36% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 54% | 64% | 11% |
| 2.5 | 32% | 29% | 32% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 21% | 4% | 7% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Estoril | FC Porto | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 18 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Estoril | FC Porto |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 5 | 100.00% | 7 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 5 | 7 |
Streaks
| Metric | Estoril | FC Porto |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 11 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 0-5 | 4-0 | 0-4 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 4-0 | — | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 4 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Estoril | FC Porto |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 27% | 73% |
| Att | 25% | 75% |
| Def | 43% | 57% |
| Poisson Distribution | 23% | 77% |
| H2h | 20% | 80% |
| Goals | 15% | 85% |
| Total | 25.5% | 74.5% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home8.00 @ Unibet
Draw5.16 @ Pinnacle
Away1.47 @ Betano
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.70 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.28 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.91 @ Bet365
No1.91 @ 10Bet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Estoril
vs
FC Porto
Expected goals
0.66
Estoril xG
League Avg: 1.45
Total
2.89
2.23
FC Porto xG
League Avg: 1.19
1x2 probabilities
Home
9.4%
Draw
17.2%
Away
70.7%
Best score tips
Tip
0 - 2
13.9%
Tip
0 - 1
12.4%
Tip
0 - 3
10.3%
More chances
1.5+
84%
Chance
2.5+
59%
Chance
3.5+
42%
Chance
BTTS
70%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 4
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Estoril = 0.66 (league 1.45), FC Porto = 2.23 (league 1.19)
| FC Porto | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Estoril | 0 | 5.6% | 12.4% | 13.9% | 10.3% | 5.8% | 2.6% |
| 1 | 3.7% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 1.7% | |
| 2 | 1.2% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% | |
| 3 | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 9.4% · Draw 17.2% · Away win 70.7%
vtt 1 , vtd1