Mon, Apr 13 2026 • 19:15 • Estádio João Cardoso
Not Started
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Expected Goals
0.46 (league 1.44) 1.17 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
14.5% 31.7% 53.6%
best score tips
0 - 1
23.0%
0 - 0
19.7%
0 - 2
13.4%
Score & goals probability table
GIL Vicente
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tondela 0 19.7% 23.0% 13.4% 5.2% 1.5% 0.4%
1 9.0% 10.5% 6.1% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2%
2 2.1% 2.4% 1.4% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
3 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTondelaGIL Vicente
Played55
Form33%33%
Attack27%53%
Defense47%53%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.88 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.67 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Tondela GIL Vicente
HATHAT
Played141327141428
Wins7%23%15%57%29%43%
Draws43%15%30%21%43%32%
Loses50%62%56%21%29%25%

Form: Tondela: LLLDLDWLLDLWLLLWLLLDDDWDLDL • GIL Vicente: WLDWWWLWWWDLDDDDDWLWWWLLDDLW

League goals

Metric Tondela GIL Vicente
HATHAT
GF total91019251742
GF avg0.60.80.71.81.21.5
GA total172744121628
GA avg1.22.11.60.91.11.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTondelaGIL Vicente
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.541%81%79%61%
1.526%48%50%32%
2.54%26%11%7%
3.50%4%7%0%
4.50%4%4%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTondelaGIL Vicente
HATHAT
Clean sheets3256511
Failed to score9716246

Penalties

MetricTondelaGIL Vicente
Scored (total | %)6 | 100.00%6 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total66

Streaks

MetricTondelaGIL Vicente
Wins13
Draws35
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-25-00-4
Biggest losses0-35-00-23-0
Goals For3254
Goals Against3523

Model comparison

MetricTondelaGIL Vicente
Form50%50%
Att33%67%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution28%72%
H2h29%71%
Goals20%80%
Total34.5%65.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or GIL Vicente

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.16 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.40 @ Dafabet
Away2.08 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.36 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.65 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.05 @ 188Bet
No1.80 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Tondela = 0.46 (league 1.44), GIL Vicente = 1.17 (league 1.23)

GIL Vicente
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tondela 0 19.7% 23.0% 13.4% 5.2% 1.5% 0.4%
1 9.0% 10.5% 6.1% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2%
2 2.1% 2.4% 1.4% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
3 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 14.5% · Draw 31.7% · Away win 53.6%

vtt 1 , vtd1