Mon, Apr 20 2026 • 19:15 •
Parque Joaquim de Almeida Freitas
Expected Goals
1.51 (league 1.45)
1.88 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 30.8% | 22.3% | 45.2% |
best score tips
1 - 1
9.6%
1 - 2
9.0%
2 - 1
7.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Estoril | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Moreirense | 0 | 3.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| 1 | 5.1% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 5.6% | 2.6% | 1.0% | |
| 2 | 3.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 0.8% | |
| 3 | 1.9% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | |
| 4 | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Moreirense | Estoril |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 13% | 27% |
| Attack | 18% | 45% |
| Defense | 36% | 27% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
86%
FT probability
2.5+
61%
FT probability
3.5+
43%
FT probability
BTTS
71%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-5
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Moreirense | Estoril | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 15 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 29 |
| Wins | 43% | 27% | 34% | 40% | 29% | 34% |
| Draws | 14% | 27% | 21% | 33% | 14% | 24% |
| Loses | 43% | 47% | 45% | 27% | 57% | 41% |
MoreirenseWWWLWLWLLWLDDLDWWLWLLWLDDLLLD
EstorilDLDLWLLDDWWLDLWWLWWWDLWLDWLLL
League goals
| Metric | Moreirense | Estoril | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 16 | 16 | 32 | 28 | 23 | 51 |
| GF avg | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.9 | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| GA total | 19 | 22 | 41 | 22 | 28 | 50 |
| GA avg | 1.4 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 1.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Moreirense | Estoril | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 69% | 76% | 72% | 83% |
| 1.5 | 34% | 41% | 48% | 55% |
| 2.5 | 7% | 21% | 31% | 31% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 3% | 21% | 3% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 3% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Moreirense | Estoril | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 5 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 8 |
Penalties
| Metric | Moreirense | Estoril |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 5 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 5 |
Streaks
| Metric | Moreirense | Estoril |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 0-2 | 4-1 | 0-5 |
| Biggest losses | 0-4 | 3-0 | 1-3 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Moreirense | Estoril |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 33% | 67% |
| Att | 29% | 71% |
| Def | 53% | 47% |
| Poisson Distribution | 45% | 55% |
| H2h | 75% | 25% |
| Goals | 57% | 43% |
| Total | 48.7% | 51.3% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home3.18 @ 1xBet
Draw3.60 @ Bet365
Away2.37 @ Betano
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.77 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.17 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.62 @ Bet365
No2.32 @ Betano
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League standings
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