Benfica 2-2 SC Braga: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review | footywow
FT
Mon, May 11 2026 Β· 19:15
FT
πŸ† Primeira Liga
🌍 Portugal
🏟️ TBA
Pre-Match Predictions
Expected Goals
Home
1.70
League avg: 2.20
Both
2.95
League avg: 4.10
Away
1.25
League avg: 1.90
1X2 Probability
Home
52%
ELO-based: 45%
Draw
24%
ELO-based: 24%
Away
24%
ELO-based: 31%
Goal Probability
2.5+
59%
3.5+
42%
BTTS
73%
Best Score Tips
1 - 111%
2 - 110%
1 - 09%
Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Post-match analysis: Benfica vs SC Braga

This full-time post-match analysis compares the pre-match prediction signals, 1X2 probabilities, expected goals, goal markets, BTTS angle, score tips, final score and available full-time match stats for Benfica vs SC Braga.

Prediction review loading: the final-score comparison and full-time stats assessment are prepared from the fixture data on this page.
FT Score Probability Grid
SC Braga
01234
Benfica 0 5.2% 6.5% 4.1% 1.7% 0.5%
1 8.9% 11.1% 7.0% 2.9% 0.9%
2 7.6% 9.5% 5.9% 2.5% 0.8%
3 4.3% 5.4% 3.3% 1.4% 0.4%
4 1.8% 2.3% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2%
ELO Overview
Home
1734+18
League
1534Β±0
Away
1668-22
ELO Verdict
Home edge, Medium confidence, medium upset risk
ELOOverallFormH/AAttackDefenseLast 5 +-
Benfica17341746160517931725+18
SC Braga16681654157317441674-22
League Snapshot
TeamPosMPPtsWDLGFGAForm
Benfica33276221006922DWWWD
SC Braga4325716976032WDWLD
Recent Team Form
TeamPlayedFormAttackDefenseGF avgGA avg
Benfica 5 73% 79% 64% 2.2 1.0
SC Braga 5 53% 43% 64% 1.2 1.0
Goal Trends
TeamGF HGF AGF TotGA HGA AGA Tot
Benfica 2.4 1.9 2.2 0.7 0.7 0.7
SC Braga 2.0 1.8 1.9 1.0 1.0 1.0
Goals Trends, home + away avg.
TeamsGFGF H/AGAGA H/A
Benfica 2.2 2.4 0.7 0.7
SC Braga 1.9 1.8 1.0 1.0
Goal Minutes
MinHome ForAway ForHome AgainstAway Against
0-15 11.94% 17.24% 16.67% 5.88%
16-30 19.40% 24.14% 12.50% 23.53%
31-45 17.91% 17.24% 20.83% 26.47%
46-60 17.91% 10.34% 12.50% 8.82%
61-75 10.45% 10.34% 12.50% 17.65%
76-90 22.39% 20.69% 25.00% 17.65%
Team Comparison
58%
Form
42%
65%
Attack
35%
5%
Defense
5%
62%
Poisson
38%
62%
H2H
38%
57%
Goals
43%
59%
Total
41%
Biggest Results
TeamWin HWin ALoss HLoss AGF H/AGA H/A
Benfica 5-0 0-4 5 / 4 2 / 2
SC Braga 5-0 0-4 1-2 2-1 5 / 4 2 / 3
Clean sheets & failed to score
TeamCSCS HCS AFTSFTS HFTS A
Benfica 14 7 7 2 0 2
SC Braga 12 6 6 3 2 1
Penalties
TeamScoredScored %MissedMissed %WonCommitted
Benfica 12 100.00% 0 0% β€” β€”
SC Braga 15 100.00% 0 0% β€” β€”
Recent H2H
DateHomeScoreAway
2026-01-07 Benfica 1 - 3 FT SC Braga
2025-12-28 SC Braga 2 - 2 FT Benfica
2025-05-17 SC Braga 1 - 1 FT Benfica
2025-02-26 Benfica 1 - 0 FT SC Braga
2025-01-08 Benfica 3 - 0 FT SC Braga
2025-01-04 Benfica 1 - 2 FT SC Braga
Best Odds Snapshot
MarketBest oddBookmaker
Home win 1.38 Homepage market
Draw 4.75 Homepage market
Away win 7.00 Homepage market
2.5 goals market 1.60 Homepage market
BTTS market 1.80 Homepage market
Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.
Match Stats
StatBenficaSC Braga
expected_goals 3.17 0.21
Ball Possession 52% 48%
Total Shots 24 5
Shots on Goal 8 2
Shots off Goal 8 1
Blocked Shots 8 2
Shots insidebox 16 2
Shots outsidebox 8 3
Corner Kicks 8 2
Offsides 2 1
Fouls 6 11
Yellow Cards 1 4
Red Cards β€” β€”
Goalkeeper Saves 0 6
Total passes 469 441
Passes accurate 385 354
Passes % 82% 80%
goals_prevented 1.28 1.28
Match Events
MinTeamPlayerTypeDetail
90+6' SC Braga V. Gomez Card Yellow Card
90+5' Benfica V. Pavlidis Goal Penalty
90+3' SC Braga Vitor Carvalho Card Yellow Card
88' SC Braga Gorby Goal Assist: M. Dorgeles
87' Benfica A. Dedic Card Yellow Card
82' SC Braga L. Lelo subst Out: Gabriel Moscardo
76' Benfica L. Barreiro subst Out: D. Lukebakio
74' SC Braga F. Navarro subst Out: R. Zalazar
67' SC Braga G. Martinez subst Out: M. Dorgeles
64' Benfica V. Pavlidis Var Goal Disallowed - video review
61' Benfica F. Ivanovic subst Out: V. Pavlidis
57' SC Braga L. Lelo Card Yellow Card
56' SC Braga L. Hornicek Card Yellow Card
48' SC Braga P. Victor Goal Assist: V. Gomez
46' Benfica Rafa Silva Goal Normal Goal
League Standings
Local standings cache Β· Primeira Liga 2025
TeamPosMPPtsWDLGFGAGDForm
FC Porto Promotion - Champions League (League phase) 1 34 88 28 4 2 66 18 48 WLWWW
Sporting CP Promotion - Champions League (Qualification) 2 34 82 25 7 2 89 24 65 WWWDD
Benfica Promotion - Europa League (Qualification) 3 34 80 23 11 0 74 25 49 WDDWW
SC Braga Promotion - Conference League (Qualification) 4 34 59 16 11 7 64 36 28 DDDLW
Famalicao 5 34 56 15 11 8 42 29 13 WDDWD
GIL Vicente 6 34 50 13 11 10 47 38 9 LLDWL
Moreirense 7 34 43 12 7 15 37 49 -12 DLWLW
Arouca 8 34 42 12 6 16 47 64 -17 WWDLW
Guimaraes 9 34 42 12 6 16 39 51 -12 LLLWW
Estoril 10 34 39 10 9 15 54 57 -3 LDDLL
Alverca 11 34 39 10 9 15 35 52 -17 LDLWL
Rio Ave 12 34 36 8 12 14 35 57 -22 DLDLD
Santa Clara 13 34 36 9 9 16 32 41 -9 LWDWD
Nacional 14 34 34 9 7 18 37 45 -8 WLLWW
Estrela 15 34 30 6 12 16 38 56 -18 DDLLL
Casa Pia Liga Portugal (Relegation) 16 34 30 6 12 16 31 57 -26 DWLLL
Tondela Relegation - Liga Portugal 2 17 34 28 6 10 18 27 55 -28 LWWDL
AVS Relegation - Liga Portugal 2 18 34 21 3 12 19 27 67 -40 DWWDD