Mon, May 11 2026 • 19:15 •
Estádio José Gomes
Expected Goals
0.98 (league 1.45)
1.13 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 31.4% | 29.7% | 38.7% |
best score tips
0 - 1
13.6%
1 - 1
13.4%
0 - 0
12.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Famalicao | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Estrela | 0 | 12.1% | 13.6% | 7.7% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 11.9% | 13.4% | 7.6% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 5.9% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Estrela | Famalicao |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 0% | 47% |
| Attack | 21% | 57% |
| Defense | 36% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
70%
FT probability
2.5+
49%
FT probability
3.5+
35%
FT probability
BTTS
63%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Estrela | Famalicao | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 16 | 16 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 32 |
| Wins | 25% | 13% | 19% | 50% | 38% | 44% |
| Draws | 31% | 31% | 31% | 25% | 38% | 31% |
| Loses | 44% | 56% | 50% | 25% | 25% | 25% |
EstrelaDLDDLDWLLWDLWLDWDLLDWLLDDLWLLLLL
FamalicaoWWDWLDDDWWLDLWLLLWWLWLWDWWWDDDWD
League goals
| Metric | Estrela | Famalicao | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 21 | 15 | 36 | 26 | 15 | 41 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 24 | 30 | 54 | 12 | 17 | 29 |
| GA avg | 1.5 | 1.9 | 1.7 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Estrela | Famalicao | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 56% | 78% | 75% | 53% |
| 1.5 | 28% | 56% | 38% | 25% |
| 2.5 | 19% | 22% | 13% | 6% |
| 3.5 | 6% | 9% | 3% | 3% |
| 4.5 | 3% | 3% | 0% | 3% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Estrela | Famalicao | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 15 |
| Failed to score | 6 | 8 | 14 | 3 | 5 | 8 |
Penalties
| Metric | Estrela | Famalicao |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 7 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 7 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Estrela | Famalicao |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 3-5 | 4-0 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-5 | 4-0 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 5 | 4 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 4 | 3 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Estrela | Famalicao |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 0% | 100% |
| Att | 27% | 73% |
| Def | 44% | 56% |
| Poisson Distribution | 44% | 56% |
| H2h | 62% | 38% |
| Goals | 44% | 56% |
| Total | 44.2% | 55.8% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home3.70 @ Unibet
Draw3.45 @ Dafabet
Away2.22 @ 1xBet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.08 @ SBO
Under 2.51.85 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.80 @ Betfair
No2.00 @ Bet365
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League standings
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