Rio Ave 1-4 Sporting CP: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review | footywow
FT
🏆 Primeira Liga 🌍 Portugal
Mon, May 11 2026 · 19:15
FT
Rio Ave
1 - 4
Sporting CP
🏆 Primeira Liga
🌍 Portugal
🏟️ TBA
Pre-Match Predictions
Expected Goals
Home
0.90
League avg: 1.00
Both
2.75
League avg: 3.60
Away
1.85
League avg: 2.60
1X2 Probability
Home
5%
ELO-based: 12%
Draw
12%
ELO-based: 24%
Away
83%
ELO-based: 64%
Goal Probability
2.5+
57%
3.5+
41%
BTTS
72%
Best Score Tips
0 - 112%
0 - 211%
1 - 111%
Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Post-match analysis: Rio Ave vs Sporting CP

This full-time post-match analysis compares the pre-match prediction signals, 1X2 probabilities, expected goals, goal markets, BTTS angle, score tips, final score and available full-time match stats for Rio Ave vs Sporting CP.

Prediction review loading: the final-score comparison and full-time stats assessment are prepared from the fixture data on this page.
FT Score Probability Grid
Sporting CP
01234
Rio Ave 0 6.4% 11.8% 10.9% 6.7% 3.1%
1 5.8% 10.6% 9.8% 6.1% 2.8%
2 2.6% 4.8% 4.4% 2.7% 1.3%
3 0.8% 1.4% 1.3% 0.8% 0.4%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
ELO Overview
Home
1455-16
League
1534±0
Away
1753±0
ELO Verdict
Away edge, High confidence, low upset risk
ELOOverallFormH/AAttackDefenseLast 5 +-
Rio Ave14551461145914521428-16
Sporting CP17531753162618861732±0
League Snapshot
TeamPosMPPtsWDLGFGAForm
Rio Ave123235811133352LWDLD
Sporting CP2327623728223WLDDW
Recent Team Form
TeamPlayedFormAttackDefenseGF avgGA avg
Rio Ave 5 33% 36% 57% 1.0 1.2
Sporting CP 5 53% 71% 57% 2.0 1.2
Goal Trends
TeamGF HGF AGF TotGA HGA AGA Tot
Rio Ave 1.0 1.1 1.0 1.6 1.7 1.6
Sporting CP 3.0 2.1 2.6 0.7 0.8 0.7
Goals Trends, home + away avg.
TeamsGFGF H/AGAGA H/A
Rio Ave 1.0 1.0 1.6 1.6
Sporting CP 2.6 2.1 0.7 0.8
Goal Minutes
MinHome ForAway ForHome AgainstAway Against
0-15 6.25% 7.41% 7.55% 12.50%
16-30 21.88% 12.35% 15.09% 12.50%
31-45 12.50% 22.22% 16.98% 4.17%
46-60 21.88% 16.05% 15.09% 8.33%
61-75 18.75% 16.05% 26.42% 20.83%
76-90 18.75% 25.93% 18.87% 41.67%
Team Comparison
38%
Form
62%
33%
Attack
67%
5%
Defense
5%
15%
Poisson
85%
%
H2H
1%
13%
Goals
88%
3%
Total
7%
Biggest Results
TeamWin HWin ALoss HLoss AGF H/AGA H/A
Rio Ave 3-0 0-2 0-4 4-0 3 / 3 4 / 4
Sporting CP 6-0 1-4 1-2 6 / 4 2 / 2
Clean sheets & failed to score
TeamCSCS HCS AFTSFTS HFTS A
Rio Ave 6 3 3 13 7 6
Sporting CP 14 9 5 0 0 0
Penalties
TeamScoredScored %MissedMissed %WonCommitted
Rio Ave 3 100.00% 0 0% — —
Sporting CP 5 100.00% 0 0% — —
Recent H2H
DateHomeScoreAway
2025-12-28 Sporting CP 4 - 0 FT Rio Ave
2025-04-22 Rio Ave 1 - 2 FT Sporting CP
2025-04-03 Sporting CP 2 - 0 FT Rio Ave
2025-01-18 Rio Ave 0 - 3 FT Sporting CP
2024-08-09 Sporting CP 3 - 1 FT Rio Ave
2024-02-25 Rio Ave 3 - 3 FT Sporting CP
Best Odds Snapshot
MarketBest oddBookmaker
Home win 13.00 Homepage market
Draw 6.25 Homepage market
Away win 1.20 Homepage market
2.5 goals market 1.36 Homepage market
BTTS market 1.80 Homepage market
Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.
Match Stats
StatRio AveSporting CP
expected_goals 0.70 1.58
Ball Possession 36% 64%
Total Shots 12 16
Shots on Goal 3 5
Shots off Goal 6 6
Blocked Shots 3 5
Shots insidebox 9 11
Shots outsidebox 3 5
Corner Kicks 5 6
Offsides — —
Fouls 9 7
Yellow Cards 5 2
Red Cards 2 0
Goalkeeper Saves 2 2
Total passes 297 535
Passes accurate 243 485
Passes % 82% 91%
goals_prevented -0.18 -0.18
Match Events
MinTeamPlayerTypeDetail
90+1' Sporting CP L. Suarez subst Out: R. Nel
90' Sporting CP G. Quenda Goal Assist: M. Araujo
85' Rio Ave Ryan Guilherme Card Yellow Card
85' Rio Ave Ryan Guilherme Card Red Card
83' Rio Ave Ryan Guilherme Card Yellow Card
82' Sporting CP Pote subst Out: E. Felicissimo
82' Sporting CP D. Braganca subst Out: G. Kochorashvili
73' Rio Ave D. Spikic subst Out: A. Papakanellos
73' Rio Ave Diogo Bezerra subst Out: A. Ntoi
72' Rio Ave N. Abbey subst Out: O. Richards
66' Sporting CP Trincao Goal Assist: O. Diomande
65' Sporting CP H. Morita subst Out: G. Quenda
64' Sporting CP Luis Guilherme subst Out: G. Catamo
64' Rio Ave M. Vrousai subst Out: J. Tome
55' Rio Ave T. Monteiro subst Out: J. Brabec
52' Rio Ave F. Petrasso Card Yellow Card
52' Rio Ave F. Petrasso Card Red Card
42' Sporting CP Gustavo Mancha Goal Own Goal
35' Sporting CP L. Suarez Goal Penalty
34' Rio Ave F. Petrasso Card Yellow Card
32' Sporting CP O. Diomande Card Yellow Card
32' Sporting CP L. Suarez Card Yellow Card
13' Rio Ave Diogo Bezerra Card Yellow Card
12' Rio Ave Diogo Bezerra Goal Assist: T. Monteiro
League Standings
Local standings cache · Primeira Liga 2025
TeamPosMPPtsWDLGFGAGDForm
FC Porto Promotion - Champions League (League phase) 1 34 88 28 4 2 66 18 48 WLWWW
Sporting CP Promotion - Champions League (Qualification) 2 34 82 25 7 2 89 24 65 WWWDD
Benfica Promotion - Europa League (Qualification) 3 34 80 23 11 0 74 25 49 WDDWW
SC Braga Promotion - Conference League (Qualification) 4 34 59 16 11 7 64 36 28 DDDLW
Famalicao 5 34 56 15 11 8 42 29 13 WDDWD
GIL Vicente 6 34 50 13 11 10 47 38 9 LLDWL
Moreirense 7 34 43 12 7 15 37 49 -12 DLWLW
Arouca 8 34 42 12 6 16 47 64 -17 WWDLW
Guimaraes 9 34 42 12 6 16 39 51 -12 LLLWW
Estoril 10 34 39 10 9 15 54 57 -3 LDDLL
Alverca 11 34 39 10 9 15 35 52 -17 LDLWL
Rio Ave 12 34 36 8 12 14 35 57 -22 DLDLD
Santa Clara 13 34 36 9 9 16 32 41 -9 LWDWD
Nacional 14 34 34 9 7 18 37 45 -8 WLLWW
Estrela 15 34 30 6 12 16 38 56 -18 DDLLL
Casa Pia Liga Portugal (Relegation) 16 34 30 6 12 16 31 57 -26 DWLLL
Tondela Relegation - Liga Portugal 2 17 34 28 6 10 18 27 55 -28 LWWDL
AVS Relegation - Liga Portugal 2 18 34 21 3 12 19 27 67 -40 DWWDD