Mon, May 11 2026 • 19:15 •
Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques
Expected Goals
2.09 (league 1.45)
0.74 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 66.9% | 19.2% | 11.9% |
best score tips
2 - 0
12.9%
1 - 0
12.4%
2 - 1
9.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Casa Pia | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Guimaraes | 0 | 5.9% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 12.4% | 9.1% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.9% | 9.5% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 9.0% | 6.6% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Guimaraes | Casa Pia |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 7% |
| Attack | 71% | 14% |
| Defense | 57% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 2 | 0.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
77%
FT probability
2.5+
54%
FT probability
3.5+
39%
FT probability
BTTS
65%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Guimaraes | Casa Pia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 16 | 16 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 32 |
| Wins | 50% | 25% | 38% | 13% | 19% | 16% |
| Draws | 25% | 13% | 19% | 50% | 19% | 34% |
| Loses | 25% | 63% | 44% | 38% | 63% | 50% |
GuimaraesLWLDWDLWLLWWDWLDWLLWLWLDLLLWDWWL
Casa PiaLWLLWDLDLLDLLDWDLLDWDWLDDLDLDLLL
League goals
| Metric | Guimaraes | Casa Pia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 26 | 13 | 39 | 17 | 12 | 29 |
| GF avg | 1.6 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 0.9 |
| GA total | 18 | 30 | 48 | 25 | 31 | 56 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 1.9 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 1.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Guimaraes | Casa Pia | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 69% | 69% | 53% | 81% |
| 1.5 | 34% | 44% | 28% | 53% |
| 2.5 | 9% | 25% | 9% | 25% |
| 3.5 | 6% | 9% | 0% | 13% |
| 4.5 | 3% | 3% | 0% | 3% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Guimaraes | Casa Pia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 5 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 15 |
Penalties
| Metric | Guimaraes | Casa Pia |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 5 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 5 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Guimaraes | Casa Pia |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-0 | 0-2 | 3-2 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-4 | 5-1 | 3-5 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Guimaraes | Casa Pia |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 91% | 9% |
| Att | 83% | 17% |
| Def | 54% | 46% |
| Poisson Distribution | 75% | 25% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 40% | 60% |
| Total | 65.5% | 34.5% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.75 @ Dafabet
Draw4.14 @ 1xBet
Away4.75 @ Bet365
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.91 @ SBO
Under 2.51.98 @ 1xBet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.83 @ Betano
No1.95 @ William Hill
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League standings
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