Sun, Nov 9 2025 • 11:00 • Estadio Las Gaunas
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.33 (league 1.50) 4.15 (league 1.35)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
0.8% 3.3% 72.0%
best score tips
0 - 4
14.0%
0 - 3
13.4%
0 - 5
11.6%
Score & goals probability table
Atletico Madrid W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Edf Logrono W 0 1.1% 4.7% 9.7% 13.4% 14.0% 11.6%
1 0.4% 1.6% 3.2% 4.5% 4.7% 3.9%
2 0.1% 0.3% 0.5% 0.7% 0.8% 0.6%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricEdf Logrono WAtletico Madrid W
Played55
Form20%53%
Attack56%100%
Defense0%11%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 110 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.88 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

89%
FT probability

2.5+

62%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Edf Logrono W Atletico Madrid W
HATHAT
Played549549
Wins0%0%0%60%50%56%
Draws40%75%56%20%50%33%
Loses60%25%44%20%0%11%

Form: Edf Logrono W: DLLDLDDLD • Atletico Madrid W: WWWDWDLDW

League goals

Metric Edf Logrono W Atletico Madrid W
HATHAT
GF total527111122
GF avg1.00.50.82.22.82.4
GA total106168210
GA avg2.01.51.81.60.51.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineEdf Logrono WAtletico Madrid W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.544%78%89%56%
1.533%56%56%11%
2.50%22%44%11%
3.50%22%44%11%
4.50%0%11%11%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricEdf Logrono WAtletico Madrid W
HATHAT
Clean sheets022224
Failed to score235101

Penalties

MetricEdf Logrono WAtletico Madrid W
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricEdf Logrono WAtletico Madrid W
Wins03
Draws21
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins——4-00-5
Biggest losses2-44-00-6—
Goals For2245
Goals Against4461

Model comparison

MetricEdf Logrono WAtletico Madrid W
Form27%73%
Att33%67%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution9%91%
H2h0%100%
Goals8%92%
Total24.8%75.2%

Advice: Winner : Atletico Madrid W

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home13.20 @ 1xBet
Draw6.11 @ Pinnacle
Away1.23 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.62 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.30 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.35 @ Unibet
No1.62 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Edf Logrono W = 0.33 (league 1.50), Atletico Madrid W = 4.15 (league 1.35)

Atletico Madrid W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Edf Logrono W 0 1.1% 4.7% 9.7% 13.4% 14.0% 11.6%
1 0.4% 1.6% 3.2% 4.5% 4.7% 3.9%
2 0.1% 0.3% 0.5% 0.7% 0.8% 0.6%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 0.8% · Draw 3.3% · Away win 72.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1