Sat, Oct 25 2025 • 10:00 • CGD Stadium Aurelio Pereira
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.25 (league 1.36) 0.34 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
59.7% 30.1% 10.0%
best score tips
1 - 0
25.5%
0 - 0
20.5%
2 - 0
15.9%
Score & goals probability table
Lusitânia Lourosa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sporting CP B 0 20.5% 6.9% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 25.5% 8.7% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 15.9% 5.4% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 6.6% 2.2% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSporting CP BLusitânia Lourosa
Played55
Form60%33%
Attack69%38%
Defense77%46%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.67 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sporting CP B Lusitânia Lourosa
HATHAT
Played347437
Wins67%75%71%0%67%29%
Draws0%0%0%75%0%43%
Loses33%25%29%25%33%29%

Form: Sporting CP B: WWLWWLW • Lusitânia Lourosa: WDDLDWL

League goals

Metric Sporting CP B Lusitânia Lourosa
HATHAT
GF total4711448
GF avg1.31.81.61.01.31.1
GA total123549
GA avg0.30.50.41.31.31.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSporting CP BLusitânia Lourosa
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%43%86%71%
1.543%0%29%43%
2.529%0%0%14%
3.514%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSporting CP BLusitânia Lourosa
HATHAT
Clean sheets224112
Failed to score112101

Penalties

MetricSporting CP BLusitânia Lourosa
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricSporting CP BLusitânia Lourosa
Wins21
Draws02
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-41-2
Biggest losses0-11-01-23-1
Goals For3422
Goals Against1123

Model comparison

MetricSporting CP BLusitânia Lourosa
Form64%36%
Att64%36%
Def70%30%
Poisson Distribution79%21%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total62.8%37.2%

Advice: Double chance : Sporting CP B or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.23 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.30 @ Bet365
Away3.57 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.20 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.75 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.93 @ 188Bet
No1.92 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Sporting CP B = 1.25 (league 1.36), Lusitânia Lourosa = 0.34 (league 1.15)

Lusitânia Lourosa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sporting CP B 0 20.5% 6.9% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 25.5% 8.7% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 15.9% 5.4% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 6.6% 2.2% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 59.7% · Draw 30.1% · Away win 10.0%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1