Sat, Jan 17 2026 • 14:00 • Estadio Municipal 25 de Abril
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.31 (league 1.31) 1.06 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
41.9% 27.6% 30.2%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.0%
1 - 0
12.2%
0 - 1
9.9%
Score & goals probability table
Portimonense
0 1 2 3 4 5
Penafiel 0 9.3% 9.9% 5.3% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
1 12.2% 13.0% 6.9% 2.4% 0.7% 0.1%
2 8.0% 8.5% 4.5% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 3.5% 3.7% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.1% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPenafielPortimonense
Played55
Form40%47%
Attack16%26%
Defense74%74%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.65 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Penafiel Portimonense
HATHAT
Played89179817
Wins38%22%29%11%50%29%
Draws25%22%24%44%0%24%
Loses38%56%47%44%50%47%

Form: Penafiel: LDLLDWWLDWDLLWLWL • Portimonense: WLDWLWDLLDLLLLWWD

League goals

Metric Penafiel Portimonense
HATHAT
GF total791671118
GF avg0.91.00.90.81.41.1
GA total71118111526
GA avg0.91.21.11.21.91.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePenafielPortimonense
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.565%59%76%82%
1.524%41%24%41%
2.56%6%6%18%
3.50%0%0%12%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPenafielPortimonense
HATHAT
Clean sheets437123
Failed to score246314

Penalties

MetricPenafielPortimonense
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total42

Streaks

MetricPenafielPortimonense
Wins22
Draws11
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-32-12-3
Biggest losses0-22-00-24-1
Goals For2323
Goals Against2324

Model comparison

MetricPenafielPortimonense
Form46%54%
Att38%63%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution57%43%
H2h50%50%
Goals53%47%
Total49.0%51.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Portimonense and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.30 @ Betano
Draw3.30 @ 188Bet
Away3.19 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.82 @ 188Bet
No2.00 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.04 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.82 @ Betano
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Penafiel = 1.31 (league 1.31), Portimonense = 1.06 (league 1.18)

Portimonense
0 1 2 3 4 5
Penafiel 0 9.3% 9.9% 5.3% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
1 12.2% 13.0% 6.9% 2.4% 0.7% 0.1%
2 8.0% 8.5% 4.5% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 3.5% 3.7% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.1% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 41.9% · Draw 27.6% · Away win 30.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1