Spartak Moscow 2-1 Rubin: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review | footywow
FT
Mon, May 11 2026 Β· 14:30
FT
🌍 Russia
🏟️ TBA
Pre-Match Predictions
Expected Goals
Home
1.40
League avg: 1.60
Both
2.35
League avg: 2.50
Away
0.95
League avg: 0.90
1X2 Probability
Home
47%
ELO-based: 47%
Draw
29%
ELO-based: 24%
Away
24%
ELO-based: 29%
Goal Probability
2.5+
48%
3.5+
34%
BTTS
65%
Best Score Tips
1 - 013%
1 - 113%
0 - 010%
Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Post-match analysis: Spartak Moscow vs Rubin

This full-time post-match analysis compares the pre-match prediction signals, 1X2 probabilities, expected goals, goal markets, BTTS angle, score tips, final score and available full-time match stats for Spartak Moscow vs Rubin.

Prediction review loading: the final-score comparison and full-time stats assessment are prepared from the fixture data on this page.
FT Score Probability Grid
Rubin
01234
Spartak Moscow 0 9.5% 9.1% 4.3% 1.4% 0.3%
1 13.4% 12.7% 6.0% 1.9% 0.5%
2 9.3% 8.9% 4.2% 1.3% 0.3%
3 4.4% 4.1% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
4 1.5% 1.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
ELO Overview
Home
1655-16
League
1559Β±0
Away
1573+12
ELO Verdict
Home edge, Medium confidence, medium upset risk
ELOOverallFormH/AAttackDefenseLast 5 +-
Spartak Moscow16551652160016621588-16
Rubin15731582148014601634+12
League Snapshot
TeamPosMPPtsWDLGFGAForm
Spartak Moscow4284814684538DWLWL
Rubin8284211982626DDWDW
Recent Team Form
TeamPlayedFormAttackDefenseGF avgGA avg
Spartak Moscow 5 47% 89% 22% 1.6 1.4
Rubin 5 60% 33% 89% 0.6 0.2
Goal Trends
TeamGF HGF AGF TotGA HGA AGA Tot
Spartak Moscow 1.7 1.5 1.6 1.1 1.6 1.4
Rubin 1.1 0.8 0.9 0.7 1.1 0.9
Goals Trends, home + away avg.
TeamsGFGF H/AGAGA H/A
Spartak Moscow 1.6 1.7 1.4 1.1
Rubin 0.9 0.8 0.9 1.1
Goal Minutes
MinHome ForAway ForHome AgainstAway Against
0-15 4.55% 3.85% 12.82% 15.38%
16-30 25.00% 34.62% 20.51% 11.54%
31-45 22.73% 11.54% 15.38% 15.38%
46-60 9.09% 23.08% 17.95% 23.08%
61-75 18.18% 11.54% 10.26% 19.23%
76-90 20.45% 15.38% 23.08% 15.38%
Team Comparison
44%
Form
56%
73%
Attack
27%
13%
Defense
88%
62%
Poisson
38%
8%
H2H
2%
73%
Goals
27%
58%
Total
43%
Biggest Results
TeamWin HWin ALoss HLoss AGF H/AGA H/A
Spartak Moscow 3-0 0-2 0-3 4-2 4 / 3 3 / 4
Rubin 3-0 0-2 0-3 5-1 3 / 2 3 / 5
Clean sheets & failed to score
TeamCSCS HCS AFTSFTS HFTS A
Spartak Moscow 6 4 2 3 1 2
Rubin 14 8 6 11 5 6
Penalties
TeamScoredScored %MissedMissed %WonCommitted
Spartak Moscow 6 100.00% 0 0% β€” β€”
Rubin 2 100.00% 0 0% β€” β€”
Recent H2H
DateHomeScoreAway
2025-08-23 Rubin 0 - 2 FT Spartak Moscow
2025-03-09 Rubin 2 - 1 FT Spartak Moscow
2024-08-31 Spartak Moscow 1 - 0 FT Rubin
2024-05-19 Spartak Moscow 3 - 1 FT Rubin
2023-08-05 Rubin 1 - 4 FT Spartak Moscow
2022-04-16 Spartak Moscow 1 - 1 FT Rubin
Best Odds Snapshot
MarketBest oddBookmaker
Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.
Match Stats
StatSpartak MoscowRubin
expected_goals β€” β€”
Ball Possession 66% 34%
Total Shots 14 9
Shots on Goal 5 2
Shots off Goal 7 3
Blocked Shots 2 4
Shots insidebox 10 7
Shots outsidebox 4 2
Corner Kicks 6 3
Offsides 4 0
Fouls 16 10
Yellow Cards 2 5
Red Cards β€” β€”
Goalkeeper Saves 1 4
Total passes 619 317
Passes accurate 535 235
Passes % 86% 74%
goals_prevented β€” β€”
Match Events
MinTeamPlayerTypeDetail
90+3' Rubin A. Jukic Goal Assist: B. Jocic
90+1' Rubin V. Hodza Card Yellow Card
87' Spartak Moscow R. Zobnin subst Out: N. Massalyga
87' Spartak Moscow M. Ugalde subst Out: L. Garcia
85' Rubin B. Jocic Card Yellow Card
84' Spartak Moscow M. Ugalde Card Yellow Card
84' Rubin I. Vujacic Card Yellow Card
79' Rubin R. Bezrukov subst Out: J. Siwe
75' Spartak Moscow Marquinhos subst Out: I. Dmitriev
75' Spartak Moscow R. Litvinov subst Out: C. Martins
65' Rubin I. Saavedra subst Out: B. Jocic
65' Rubin N. Gripshi subst Out: A. Jukic
65' Spartak Moscow P. Solari subst Out: G. Fernandes
63' Rubin I. Saavedra Card Yellow Card
60' Spartak Moscow P. Solari Goal Assist: M. Ugalde
53' Spartak Moscow Marquinhos Card Yellow Card
46' Rubin D. Maldonado subst Out: N. Lobov
34' Rubin D. Maldonado Card Yellow Card
21' Rubin A. Arroyo subst Out: D. Kabutov
4' Spartak Moscow C. Wooh Goal Assist: M. Ugalde
League Standings
Local standings cache Β· Premier League 2025
TeamPosMPPtsWDLGFGAGDForm
Zenit 1 30 68 20 8 2 53 19 34 WWWWD
FC Krasnodar 2 30 66 20 6 4 60 23 37 WLWWW
Lokomotiv 3 30 53 14 11 5 54 39 15 LWDLD
Spartak Moscow 4 30 52 15 7 8 47 39 8 DWLWL
CSKA Moscow 5 30 51 15 6 9 44 33 11 WWLDD
Baltika 6 30 46 11 13 6 38 21 17 LLLLD
Dynamo 7 30 45 12 9 9 51 40 11 WWDWL
Rubin 8 30 43 11 10 9 29 30 -1 DLWDW
Akhmat 9 30 37 9 10 11 35 39 -4 DDWLD
FC Rostov 10 30 33 8 9 13 25 32 -7 LWWLD
Krylia Sovetov 11 30 32 8 8 14 35 50 -15 WLWWL
FC Orenburg 12 30 29 7 8 15 29 44 -15 LWLWW
Akron Relegation Playoffs 13 30 27 6 9 15 35 53 -18 LLLWD
Dinamo Makhachkala Relegation Playoffs 14 30 26 5 11 14 19 37 -18 DDLLD
Nizhny Novgorod Relegation 15 30 23 6 5 19 26 50 -24 DLLLL
FC Sochi Relegation 16 30 22 6 4 20 29 60 -31 DLWLW