Persha Liga — Ukraine
Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 09:00 • Stadion Yuvilejnyj
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.42 (league 1.21) 0.28 (league 1.08)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
27.4% 55.8% 16.8%
best score tips
0 - 0
49.8%
1 - 0
20.9%
0 - 1
13.8%
Score & goals probability table
Probiy Horodenka
0 1 2 3 4 5
UCSA 0 49.8% 13.8% 1.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 20.9% 5.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 4.4% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricUCSAProbiy Horodenka
Played55
Form33%13%
Attack25%50%
Defense83%17%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.66 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.410 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

54%
FT probability

2.5+

38%
FT probability

3.5+

27%
FT probability

BTTS

57%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric UCSA Probiy Horodenka
HATHAT
Played437437
Wins25%33%29%25%0%14%
Draws50%0%29%0%67%29%
Loses25%67%43%75%33%57%

Form: UCSA: WLDLWDL • Probiy Horodenka: WLLDLDL

League goals

Metric UCSA Probiy Horodenka
HATHAT
GF total134538
GF avg0.31.00.61.31.01.1
GA total1458513
GA avg0.31.30.72.01.71.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineUCSAProbiy Horodenka
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.529%43%86%86%
1.514%14%14%57%
2.514%14%14%29%
3.50%0%0%14%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricUCSAProbiy Horodenka
HATHAT
Clean sheets314101
Failed to score325101

Penalties

MetricUCSAProbiy Horodenka
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricUCSAProbiy Horodenka
Wins11
Draws11
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-31-0—
Biggest losses0-13-00-23-1
Goals For1331
Goals Against1343

Model comparison

MetricUCSAProbiy Horodenka
Form71%29%
Att33%67%
Def83%17%
Poisson Distribution62%38%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total62.3%37.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : UCSA or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.13 @ Marathonbet
Draw3.47 @ Pinnacle
Away3.38 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.08 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.73 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.87 @ Superbet
No1.91 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): UCSA = 0.42 (league 1.21), Probiy Horodenka = 0.28 (league 1.08)

Probiy Horodenka
0 1 2 3 4 5
UCSA 0 49.8% 13.8% 1.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 20.9% 5.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 4.4% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 27.4% · Draw 55.8% · Away win 16.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1