Persha Liga
— Ukraine
Fri, Oct 3 2025 • 11:00 •
Stadion Inhulets
Expected Goals
1.93 (league 1.21)
0.60 (league 1.08)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 67.7% | 20.3% | 10.7% |
best score tips
1 - 0
15.4%
2 - 0
14.8%
3 - 0
9.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Yarud Mariupol' | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Inhulets | 0 | 8.0% | 4.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 15.4% | 9.2% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 14.8% | 8.9% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 9.5% | 5.7% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.6% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Inhulets | Yarud Mariupol' |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 47% |
| Attack | 100% | 63% |
| Defense | 50% | 25% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
69%
FT probability
2.5+
49%
FT probability
3.5+
35%
FT probability
BTTS
58%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Inhulets | Yarud Mariupol' | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| Wins | 25% | 50% | 38% | 50% | 0% | 25% |
| Draws | 50% | 50% | 50% | 0% | 50% | 25% |
| Loses | 25% | 0% | 13% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
Form: Inhulets: DWDWWDLD • Yarud Mariupol': LLDWLWDL
League goals
| Metric | Inhulets | Yarud Mariupol' | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 7 | 7 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| GF avg | 1.8 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 5 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Inhulets | Yarud Mariupol' | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 63% | 50% | 63% | 63% |
| 1.5 | 63% | 25% | 13% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 25% | 13% | 0% | 13% |
| 3.5 | 13% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 13% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Inhulets | Yarud Mariupol' | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Inhulets | Yarud Mariupol' |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Inhulets | Yarud Mariupol' |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 1-5 | 1-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | 2-3 | — | 0-2 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 5 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 1 | 3 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Inhulets | Yarud Mariupol' |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 53% | 47% |
| Att | 67% | 33% |
| Def | 60% | 40% |
| Poisson Distribution | 76% | 24% |
| H2h | 20% | 80% |
| Goals | 33% | 67% |
| Total | 51.5% | 48.5% |
Advice: Double chance : Inhulets or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Inhulets = 1.93 (league 1.21), Yarud Mariupol' = 0.60 (league 1.08)
| Yarud Mariupol' | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Inhulets | 0 | 8.0% | 4.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 15.4% | 9.2% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 14.8% | 8.9% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 9.5% | 5.7% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.6% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 67.7% · Draw 20.3% · Away win 10.7%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1