Sat, Nov 8 2025 • 14:30 • The Oval
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.32 (league 1.66) 0.94 (league 1.37)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
70.5% 10.7% 6.8%
best score tips
3 - 0
8.6%
3 - 1
8.1%
2 - 0
7.8%
Score & goals probability table
Haverfordwest County AFC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Caernarfon Town 0 1.4% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 4.7% 4.4% 2.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
2 7.8% 7.3% 3.4% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
3 8.6% 8.1% 3.8% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
4 7.2% 6.7% 3.1% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
5 4.8% 4.5% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCaernarfon TownHaverfordwest County AFC
Played55
Form47%47%
Attack45%55%
Defense65%55%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.811 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.49 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

72%
FT probability

3.5+

51%
FT probability

BTTS

78%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Caernarfon Town Haverfordwest County AFC
HATHAT
Played78158614
Wins57%50%53%25%17%21%
Draws0%38%20%25%17%21%
Loses43%13%27%50%67%57%

Form: Caernarfon Town: DWWWDWWLWLLLDWW • Haverfordwest County AFC: LDWDLLLLLWLWDL

League goals

Metric Caernarfon Town Haverfordwest County AFC
HATHAT
GF total17193613518
GF avg2.42.42.41.60.81.3
GA total111122141428
GA avg1.61.41.51.82.32.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCaernarfon TownHaverfordwest County AFC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.587%87%71%86%
1.567%47%43%57%
2.533%13%14%43%
3.527%0%0%7%
4.520%0%0%7%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCaernarfon TownHaverfordwest County AFC
HATHAT
Clean sheets112112
Failed to score112134

Penalties

MetricCaernarfon TownHaverfordwest County AFC
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total33

Streaks

MetricCaernarfon TownHaverfordwest County AFC
Wins31
Draws11
Losses35

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-12-53-10-1
Biggest losses0-31-01-35-0
Goals For6533
Goals Against3235

Model comparison

MetricCaernarfon TownHaverfordwest County AFC
Form50%50%
Att45%55%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution81%19%
H2h36%64%
Goals40%60%
Total51.3%48.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Haverfordwest County AFC and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.62 @ William Hill
Draw4.17 @ Pinnacle
Away4.90 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.57 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.40 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.67 @ Bet365
No2.29 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Caernarfon Town = 3.32 (league 1.66), Haverfordwest County AFC = 0.94 (league 1.37)

Haverfordwest County AFC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Caernarfon Town 0 1.4% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 4.7% 4.4% 2.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
2 7.8% 7.3% 3.4% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
3 8.6% 8.1% 3.8% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
4 7.2% 6.7% 3.1% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
5 4.8% 4.5% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 70.5% · Draw 10.7% · Away win 6.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1