Sun, Nov 9 2025 • 17:30 • Weserstadion Platz 11
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.58 (league 1.86) 0.64 (league 1.56)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
74.3% 13.9% 7.0%
best score tips
2 - 0
13.2%
3 - 0
11.4%
1 - 0
10.2%
Score & goals probability table
RB Leipzig W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Werder Bremen W 0 4.0% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 10.2% 6.6% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.2% 8.5% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 11.4% 7.3% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 7.4% 4.7% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 3.8% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricWerder Bremen WRB Leipzig W
Played55
Form60%67%
Attack50%56%
Defense50%44%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.69 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.69 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

70%
FT probability

3.5+

50%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Werder Bremen W RB Leipzig W
HATHAT
Played459459
Wins75%40%56%50%40%44%
Draws25%0%11%0%20%11%
Loses0%60%33%50%40%44%

Form: Werder Bremen W: DWWLLWLWW • RB Leipzig W: WLLLDWLWW

League goals

Metric Werder Bremen W RB Leipzig W
HATHAT
GF total891741014
GF avg2.01.81.91.02.01.6
GA total2131551217
GA avg0.52.61.71.32.41.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineWerder Bremen WRB Leipzig W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.578%78%67%78%
1.567%44%56%44%
2.533%22%22%33%
3.511%22%11%22%
4.50%0%0%11%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricWerder Bremen WRB Leipzig W
HATHAT
Clean sheets202112
Failed to score022213

Penalties

MetricWerder Bremen WRB Leipzig W
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total51

Streaks

MetricWerder Bremen WRB Leipzig W
Wins21
Draws11
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-42-02-4
Biggest losses—4-00-35-0
Goals For3424
Goals Against1435

Model comparison

MetricWerder Bremen WRB Leipzig W
Form47%53%
Att47%53%
Def53%47%
Poisson Distribution82%18%
H2h36%64%
Goals50%50%
Total52.5%47.5%

Advice: Double chance : Werder Bremen W or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.28 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.78 @ Pinnacle
Away2.80 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.58 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.40 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.53 @ Bet365
No2.60 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Werder Bremen W = 2.58 (league 1.86), RB Leipzig W = 0.64 (league 1.56)

RB Leipzig W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Werder Bremen W 0 4.0% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 10.2% 6.6% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.2% 8.5% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 11.4% 7.3% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 7.4% 4.7% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 3.8% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 74.3% · Draw 13.9% · Away win 7.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1