RB Leipzig W 1-3 Bayer Leverkusen W: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review | footywow
FT
Mon, May 11 2026 Β· 16:00
FT
🌍 Germany
🏟️ TBA
Pre-Match Predictions
Expected Goals
Home
1.30
League avg: 1.60
Both
2.90
League avg: 3.40
Away
1.60
League avg: 1.80
1X2 Probability
Home
22%
ELO-based: 26%
Draw
25%
ELO-based: 24%
Away
53%
ELO-based: 50%
Goal Probability
2.5+
62%
3.5+
44%
BTTS
75%
Best Score Tips
1 - 111%
1 - 29%
0 - 19%
Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Post-match analysis: RB Leipzig W vs Bayer Leverkusen W

This full-time post-match analysis compares the pre-match prediction signals, 1X2 probabilities, expected goals, goal markets, BTTS angle, score tips, final score and available full-time match stats for RB Leipzig W vs Bayer Leverkusen W.

Prediction review loading: the final-score comparison and full-time stats assessment are prepared from the fixture data on this page.
FT Score Probability Grid
Bayer Leverkusen W
01234
RB Leipzig W 0 5.5% 8.8% 7.0% 3.8% 1.5%
1 7.2% 11.4% 9.2% 4.9% 2.0%
2 4.6% 7.4% 6.0% 3.2% 1.3%
3 2.0% 3.2% 2.6% 1.4% 0.6%
4 0.7% 1.0% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2%
ELO Overview
Home
1468-4
League
1541Β±0
Away
1583+51
ELO Verdict
Away edge, High confidence, low upset risk
ELOOverallFormH/AAttackDefenseLast 5 +-
RB Leipzig W14681475146115551434-4
Bayer Leverkusen W15831608153116281580+51
League Snapshot
TeamPosMPPtsWDLGFGAForm
RB Leipzig W10242776113845DWDDL
Bayer Leverkusen W4244314194232LWWWW
Recent Team Form
TeamPlayedFormAttackDefenseGF avgGA avg
RB Leipzig W 5 40% 40% 65% 1.6 1.4
Bayer Leverkusen W 5 80% 65% 80% 2.6 0.8
Goal Trends
TeamGF HGF AGF TotGA HGA AGA Tot
RB Leipzig W 1.4 1.8 1.6 1.5 2.3 1.9
Bayer Leverkusen W 1.8 1.7 1.8 1.5 1.2 1.3
Goals Trends, home + away avg.
TeamsGFGF H/AGAGA H/A
RB Leipzig W 1.6 1.4 1.9 1.5
Bayer Leverkusen W 1.8 1.7 1.3 1.2
Goal Minutes
MinHome ForAway ForHome AgainstAway Against
0-15 17.07% 23.81% 23.81% 9.38%
16-30 14.63% 11.90% 9.52% 9.38%
31-45 14.63% 9.52% 9.52% 15.63%
46-60 14.63% 11.90% 21.43% 25.00%
61-75 14.63% 16.67% 14.29% 9.38%
76-90 24.39% 26.19% 21.43% 31.25%
Team Comparison
33%
Form
67%
38%
Attack
62%
36%
Defense
64%
38%
Poisson
62%
29%
H2H
71%
4%
Goals
6%
36%
Total
64%
Biggest Results
TeamWin HWin ALoss HLoss AGF H/AGA H/A
RB Leipzig W 3-1 2-4 0-3 5-0 3 / 4 3 / 5
Bayer Leverkusen W 4-0 0-4 1-5 2-0 4 / 4 5 / 2
Clean sheets & failed to score
TeamCSCS HCS AFTSFTS HFTS A
RB Leipzig W 3 2 1 5 3 2
Bayer Leverkusen W 5 2 3 6 3 3
Penalties
TeamScoredScored %MissedMissed %WonCommitted
RB Leipzig W 1 100.00% 0 0% β€” β€”
Bayer Leverkusen W 4 100.00% 0 0% β€” β€”
Recent H2H
DateHomeScoreAway
2025-12-06 Bayer Leverkusen W 3 - 2 FT RB Leipzig W
2025-05-03 Bayer Leverkusen W 1 - 0 FT RB Leipzig W
2024-11-17 RB Leipzig W 0 - 1 FT Bayer Leverkusen W
2024-04-19 RB Leipzig W 1 - 0 FT Bayer Leverkusen W
2023-11-19 Bayer Leverkusen W 1 - 1 FT RB Leipzig W
Best Odds Snapshot
MarketBest oddBookmaker
Home win 4.75 Homepage market
Draw 4.10 Homepage market
Away win 1.53 Homepage market
2.5 goals market 1.53 Homepage market
BTTS market 1.67 Homepage market
Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.
Match Events
MinTeamPlayerTypeDetail
87' RB Leipzig W S. Starke subst Out: J. Magerl
87' RB Leipzig W A. Norheim subst Out: R. Grunenberg
87' RB Leipzig W E. Asgeirsdottir subst Out: K. Spitzner
83' Bayer Leverkusen W K. Kogel subst Out: J. Mickenhagen
83' Bayer Leverkusen W V. Fudalla subst Out: V. Madl
80' Bayer Leverkusen W R. Grant Goal Assist: K. Piljic
73' Bayer Leverkusen W L. Bender subst Out: R. Grant
71' Bayer Leverkusen W L. Bender Card Yellow Card
69' Bayer Leverkusen W L. Turanyi Card Yellow Card
68' RB Leipzig W V. Krug subst Out: G. Chmielinski
63' Bayer Leverkusen W C. Wenger subst Out: L. Turanyi
60' Bayer Leverkusen W C. Wenger Card Yellow Card
38' Bayer Leverkusen W K. Piljic Goal Assist: V. Fudalla
18' Bayer Leverkusen W C. Kramer Goal Assist: L. Bender
4' RB Leipzig W L. Baum Goal Assist: D. Boboy
League Standings
Local standings cache Β· Frauen Bundesliga 2025
TeamPosMPPtsWDLGFGAGDForm
Bayern Munich W Promotion - Champions League Women (League phase) 1 25 71 23 2 0 89 9 80 WDWWW
VfL Wolfsburg W Promotion - Champions League Women (Qualification - First stage) 2 25 55 17 4 4 69 37 32 WWLDD
Eintracht Frankfurt W Promotion - Champions League Women (Qualification - First stage) 3 25 48 15 3 7 61 41 20 LWWWW
Bayer Leverkusen W 4 25 46 15 1 9 45 33 12 WWWWW
1899 Hoffenheim W 5 25 45 14 3 8 48 30 18 WDWWL
Werder Bremen W 6 25 40 11 7 7 39 35 4 WLLDD
FC Koln W 7 25 34 10 4 11 33 37 -4 WWLLW
SC Freiburg W 8 25 33 10 3 12 43 45 -2 LWLLL
Union Berlin W 9 25 30 8 6 11 40 47 -7 LWLDW
RB Leipzig W 10 25 27 7 6 12 39 48 -9 LLDDW
NΓΌrnberg W 11 25 22 6 4 15 32 58 -26 WLLLL
Hamburger SV W 12 25 18 4 6 15 26 56 -30 LLWLL
SGS Essen W Relegation - 2. Bundesliga Women 13 25 15 3 6 16 21 62 -41 LLWLL
Carl Zeiss Jena W Relegation - 2. Bundesliga Women 14 25 11 2 5 18 22 69 -47 LLLDL