Tue, Nov 4 2025 • 19:45 • Hornchurch Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.19 (league 1.51) 0.66 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
48.7% 30.7% 20.4%
best score tips
1 - 0
18.8%
0 - 0
15.8%
1 - 1
12.3%
Score & goals probability table
Chesham United
0 1 2 3 4 5
AFC Hornchurch 0 15.8% 10.4% 3.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 18.8% 12.3% 4.1% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
2 11.2% 7.3% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 4.4% 2.9% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.3% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAFC HornchurchChesham United
Played55
Form73%67%
Attack57%43%
Defense64%71%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.66 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric AFC Hornchurch Chesham United
HATHAT
Played86148715
Wins75%67%71%50%29%40%
Draws25%33%29%25%43%33%
Loses0%0%0%25%29%27%

Form: AFC Hornchurch: WWWWDWWDWDDWWW • Chesham United: WWDDLLDDLWDWLWW

League goals

Metric AFC Hornchurch Chesham United
HATHAT
GF total16143012618
GF avg2.02.32.11.50.91.2
GA total78158614
GA avg0.91.31.11.00.90.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAFC HornchurchChesham United
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.593%71%67%67%
1.564%29%33%27%
2.543%7%13%0%
3.57%0%7%0%
4.57%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAFC HornchurchChesham United
HATHAT
Clean sheets314325
Failed to score101235

Penalties

MetricAFC HornchurchChesham United
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricAFC HornchurchChesham United
Wins42
Draws22
Losses02

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-02-54-11-2
Biggest losses——1-22-1
Goals For3542
Goals Against2322

Model comparison

MetricAFC HornchurchChesham United
Form52%48%
Att57%43%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution66%34%
H2h100%0%
Goals71%29%
Total58.0%42.0%

Advice: Double chance : AFC Hornchurch or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.91 @ 10Bet
Draw3.63 @ Pinnacle
Away4.90 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.97 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.00 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.89 @ 188Bet
No2.07 @ Betano
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): AFC Hornchurch = 1.19 (league 1.51), Chesham United = 0.66 (league 1.23)

Chesham United
0 1 2 3 4 5
AFC Hornchurch 0 15.8% 10.4% 3.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 18.8% 12.3% 4.1% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
2 11.2% 7.3% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 4.4% 2.9% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.3% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 48.7% · Draw 30.7% · Away win 20.4%

Vtot 3 , Vtod1