Tue, Mar 10 2026 • 19:45 • Sussex Transport Community Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.37 (league 1.51) 0.79 (league 1.22)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
50.5% 27.8% 21.4%
best score tips
1 - 0
15.8%
1 - 1
12.5%
0 - 0
11.5%
Score & goals probability table
Maidenhead
0 1 2 3 4 5
Worthing 0 11.5% 9.1% 3.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
1 15.8% 12.5% 4.9% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
2 10.9% 8.6% 3.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 5.0% 3.9% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.7% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricWorthingMaidenhead
Played55
Form60%80%
Attack71%57%
Defense64%79%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 28 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 13 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Worthing Maidenhead
HATHAT
Played181836171835
Wins61%39%50%59%39%49%
Draws33%6%19%18%22%20%
Loses6%56%31%24%39%31%

Form: Worthing: DWLDLDWWLLWWWWWWWLWWWWWDLDLLDDLWWLWL • Maidenhead: LDDLWWWWWWLDLLLLLWWWWDLWWDLDWDWWLWW

League goals

Metric Worthing Maidenhead
HATHAT
GF total463076292251
GF avg2.61.72.11.71.21.5
GA total142943171532
GA avg0.81.61.21.00.80.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineWorthingMaidenhead
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.578%75%74%66%
1.564%25%46%20%
2.539%14%14%6%
3.522%3%6%0%
4.58%3%3%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricWorthingMaidenhead
HATHAT
Clean sheets8196612
Failed to score268189

Penalties

MetricWorthingMaidenhead
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%3 | 75.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 25.00%
Total34

Streaks

MetricWorthingMaidenhead
Wins76
Draws22
Losses25

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-02-53-00-6
Biggest losses0-15-41-33-0
Goals For5536
Goals Against3533

Model comparison

MetricWorthingMaidenhead
Form43%57%
Att56%44%
Def38%63%
Poisson Distribution63%37%
H2h0%100%
Goals0%100%
Total50.0%50.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Maidenhead

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.91 @ William Hill
Draw3.75 @ Betfair
Away3.75 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.68 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.25 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.67 @ Bet365
No2.31 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Worthing = 1.37 (league 1.51), Maidenhead = 0.79 (league 1.22)

Maidenhead
0 1 2 3 4 5
Worthing 0 11.5% 9.1% 3.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
1 15.8% 12.5% 4.9% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
2 10.9% 8.6% 3.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 5.0% 3.9% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.7% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 50.5% · Draw 27.8% · Away win 21.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1