Tue, Mar 10 2026 • 19:45 •
Victory Park
Expected Goals
1.16 (league 1.56)
1.81 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 24.1% | 23.1% | 51.6% |
best score tips
1 - 1
10.8%
1 - 2
9.8%
0 - 1
9.3%
Score & goals probability table
| South Shields | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Chorley | 0 | 5.1% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| 1 | 5.9% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 5.9% | 2.7% | 1.0% | |
| 2 | 3.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.6% | |
| 3 | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Chorley | South Shields |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 73% |
| Attack | 60% | 100% |
| Defense | 20% | 40% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 12 | 2.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
86%
FT probability
2.5+
61%
FT probability
3.5+
43%
FT probability
BTTS
74%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Chorley | South Shields | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 17 | 17 | 34 | 17 | 17 | 34 |
| Wins | 47% | 18% | 32% | 76% | 59% | 68% |
| Draws | 24% | 29% | 26% | 18% | 29% | 24% |
| Loses | 29% | 53% | 41% | 6% | 12% | 9% |
Form: Chorley: WWDWWLLWWLDLDLLLDWDLDWLWDLLDWWLDLL • South Shields: WWWWWDWDWWWWLWDLWDWLWWWWDWWDWDDWWW
League goals
| Metric | Chorley | South Shields | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 31 | 23 | 54 | 43 | 33 | 76 |
| GF avg | 1.8 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 2.5 | 1.9 | 2.2 |
| GA total | 21 | 31 | 52 | 12 | 17 | 29 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Chorley | South Shields | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 68% | 88% | 94% | 62% |
| 1.5 | 47% | 53% | 74% | 21% |
| 2.5 | 32% | 12% | 35% | 3% |
| 3.5 | 12% | 0% | 15% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 3% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Chorley | South Shields | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 13 |
| Failed to score | 5 | 6 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Chorley | South Shields |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Chorley | South Shields |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 5 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 1-4 | 6-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 3-1 | 1-2 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 4 | 6 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Chorley | South Shields |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 27% | 73% |
| Att | 33% | 67% |
| Def | 43% | 57% |
| Poisson Distribution | 39% | 61% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 37% | 63% |
| Total | 34.7% | 65.3% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or South Shields
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Chorley = 1.16 (league 1.56), South Shields = 1.81 (league 1.26)
| South Shields | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Chorley | 0 | 5.1% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| 1 | 5.9% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 5.9% | 2.7% | 1.0% | |
| 2 | 3.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.6% | |
| 3 | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 24.1% · Draw 23.1% · Away win 51.6%
vtt 1 , vtd1