Tue, Apr 14 2026 • 18:45 •
Rossett Park
Expected Goals
2.07 (league 1.56)
2.30 (league 1.28)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 34.0% | 19.6% | 41.6% |
best score tips
2 - 2
7.2%
1 - 2
6.9%
2 - 1
6.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Merthyr Town | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Marine | 0 | 1.3% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| 1 | 2.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 1.4% | |
| 2 | 2.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 1.5% | |
| 3 | 1.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.0% | |
| 4 | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Marine | Merthyr Town |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 7% |
| Attack | 32% | 26% |
| Defense | 58% | 32% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 13 | 2.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
70%
FT probability
3.5+
50%
FT probability
BTTS
76%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0-0
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Marine | Merthyr Town | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 21 | 21 | 42 | 22 | 21 | 43 |
| Wins | 48% | 38% | 43% | 45% | 52% | 49% |
| Draws | 19% | 14% | 17% | 9% | 10% | 9% |
| Loses | 33% | 48% | 40% | 45% | 38% | 42% |
Form: Marine: LWWWLLLLDWLWWLDWWDWLDWLLWDWDLWWLLLWDWLLWLW • Merthyr Town: WWLWLLWWLDLLWWWWWWWWLWWDWWWLLLLDWLWLWLLLDLL
League goals
| Metric | Marine | Merthyr Town | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 35 | 22 | 57 | 45 | 44 | 89 |
| GF avg | 1.7 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 2.0 | 2.1 | 2.1 |
| GA total | 30 | 33 | 63 | 39 | 40 | 79 |
| GA avg | 1.4 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 1.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Marine | Merthyr Town | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 69% | 79% | 84% | 81% |
| 1.5 | 43% | 38% | 60% | 49% |
| 2.5 | 14% | 17% | 33% | 35% |
| 3.5 | 7% | 17% | 16% | 12% |
| 4.5 | 2% | 0% | 7% | 5% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Marine | Merthyr Town | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 6 | 7 | 13 | 2 | 5 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Marine | Merthyr Town |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 5 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 5 |
Streaks
| Metric | Marine | Merthyr Town |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 8 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 4 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-0 | 1-3 | 7-1 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-4 | 4-0 | 0-5 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 3 | 7 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Marine | Merthyr Town |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 86% | 14% |
| Att | 55% | 45% |
| Def | 62% | 38% |
| Poisson Distribution | 48% | 52% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 75% | 25% |
| Total | 65.2% | 34.8% |
Advice: Double chance : Marine or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.15 @ Dafabet
Draw3.75 @ Dafabet
Away3.16 @ 1xBet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.57 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.62 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.45 @ 10Bet
No2.63 @ BetVictor
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Marine
vs
Merthyr Town
Expected goals
2.07
Marine xG
League Avg: 1.56
Total
4.37
2.30
Merthyr Town xG
League Avg: 1.28
1x2 probabilities
Home
34.0%
Draw
19.6%
Away
41.6%
Best score tips
Tip
2 - 2
7.2%
Tip
1 - 2
6.9%
Tip
2 - 1
6.2%
More chances
1.5+
95%
Chance
2.5+
70%
Chance
3.5+
50%
Chance
BTTS
76%
Chance
🟨 Cards
0 - 0
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Marine = 2.07 (league 1.56), Merthyr Town = 2.30 (league 1.28)
| Merthyr Town | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Marine | 0 | 1.3% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| 1 | 2.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 1.4% | |
| 2 | 2.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 1.5% | |
| 3 | 1.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.0% | |
| 4 | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 34.0% · Draw 19.6% · Away win 41.6%
vtt 1 , vtd1