Liga 1 — Indonesia
Fri, Sep 26 2025 • 12:00 • Banten International Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.69 (league 1.44) 0.82 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
28.1% 36.5% 35.3%
best score tips
0 - 0
22.1%
0 - 1
18.0%
1 - 0
15.3%
Score & goals probability table
Persebaya Surabaya
0 1 2 3 4 5
Dewa United 0 22.1% 18.0% 7.4% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1%
1 15.3% 12.5% 5.1% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
2 5.3% 4.3% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.2% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDewa UnitedPersebaya Surabaya
Played55
Form60%60%
Attack100%100%
Defense0%43%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.87 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.64 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Dewa United Persebaya Surabaya
HATHAT
Played426325
Wins50%50%50%67%50%60%
Draws0%0%0%0%0%0%
Loses50%50%50%33%50%40%

Form: Dewa United: LLWLWW • Persebaya Surabaya: LWWLW

League goals

Metric Dewa United Persebaya Surabaya
HATHAT
GF total8210617
GF avg2.01.01.72.00.51.4
GA total8311314
GA avg2.01.51.81.00.50.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDewa UnitedPersebaya Surabaya
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%100%60%60%
1.550%50%20%20%
2.533%33%20%0%
3.50%0%20%0%
4.50%0%20%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDewa UnitedPersebaya Surabaya
HATHAT
Clean sheets000112
Failed to score011112

Penalties

MetricDewa UnitedPersebaya Surabaya
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricDewa UnitedPersebaya Surabaya
Wins12
Draws00
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-25-20-1
Biggest losses1-32-00-11-0
Goals For3251
Goals Against3221

Model comparison

MetricDewa UnitedPersebaya Surabaya
Form50%50%
Att56%44%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution46%54%
H2h62%38%
Goals60%40%
Total51.2%48.8%

Advice: Double chance : Dewa United or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.03 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.65 @ 188Bet
Away4.20 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.88 @ Pinnacle
No2.15 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.09 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.76 @ Marathonbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Dewa United = 0.69 (league 1.44), Persebaya Surabaya = 0.82 (league 1.23)

Persebaya Surabaya
0 1 2 3 4 5
Dewa United 0 22.1% 18.0% 7.4% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1%
1 15.3% 12.5% 5.1% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
2 5.3% 4.3% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.2% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 28.1% · Draw 36.5% · Away win 35.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1