Fri, Oct 31 2025 • 21:00 •
Estadio Los Milagros
Expected Goals
1.58 (league 1.14)
2.03 (league 1.03)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 29.8% | 21.4% | 46.5% |
best score tips
1 - 2
8.8%
1 - 1
8.7%
2 - 2
7.0%
Score & goals probability table
| SD Atletico Nacional | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Herrera | 0 | 2.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| 1 | 4.3% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 1.2% | |
| 2 | 3.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 1.0% | |
| 3 | 1.8% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% | |
| 4 | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Herrera | SD Atletico Nacional |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 0% | 67% |
| Attack | 18% | 100% |
| Defense | 9% | 27% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 11 | 2.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
84%
FT probability
2.5+
59%
FT probability
3.5+
42%
FT probability
BTTS
72%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Herrera | SD Atletico Nacional | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 15 | 15 | 30 | 7 | 7 | 14 |
| Wins | 27% | 0% | 13% | 29% | 14% | 21% |
| Draws | 20% | 40% | 30% | 14% | 57% | 36% |
| Loses | 53% | 60% | 57% | 57% | 29% | 43% |
Form: Herrera: LDWLLLDDLDLWDDLWLLDLDWLDLLLLLL • SD Atletico Nacional: LLDDDLLDLWLDWW
League goals
| Metric | Herrera | SD Atletico Nacional | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 14 | 11 | 25 | 10 | 11 | 21 |
| GF avg | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 20 | 25 | 45 | 15 | 14 | 29 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 2.1 | 2.0 | 2.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Herrera | SD Atletico Nacional | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 53% | 83% | 79% | 93% |
| 1.5 | 23% | 50% | 57% | 71% |
| 2.5 | 7% | 13% | 14% | 29% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 3% | 0% | 7% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 7% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Herrera | SD Atletico Nacional | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 8 | 6 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Herrera | SD Atletico Nacional |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Herrera | SD Atletico Nacional |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 3 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | — | 2-0 | 2-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 4-1 | 2-5 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Herrera | SD Atletico Nacional |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 0% | 100% |
| Att | 15% | 85% |
| Def | 44% | 56% |
| Poisson Distribution | 43% | 57% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 40.4% | 59.6% |
Advice: Winner : SD Atletico Nacional
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Herrera = 1.58 (league 1.14), SD Atletico Nacional = 2.03 (league 1.03)
| SD Atletico Nacional | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Herrera | 0 | 2.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| 1 | 4.3% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 1.2% | |
| 2 | 3.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 1.0% | |
| 3 | 1.8% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% | |
| 4 | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 29.8% · Draw 21.4% · Away win 46.5%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1