Sat, Dec 13 2025 • 12:00 •
WGF-Arena Stadion des Friedens
Expected Goals
2.30 (league 1.80)
0.42 (league 1.68)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 77.1% | 14.7% | 5.2% |
best score tips
2 - 0
17.5%
1 - 0
15.2%
3 - 0
13.4%
Score & goals probability table
| FC Grimma | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| SC Freital | 0 | 6.6% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 15.2% | 6.3% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 17.5% | 7.3% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 13.4% | 5.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 7.7% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | SC Freital | FC Grimma |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 80% | 27% |
| Attack | 47% | 47% |
| Defense | 88% | 29% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 12 | 2.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
91%
FT probability
2.5+
64%
FT probability
3.5+
45%
FT probability
BTTS
67%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | SC Freital | FC Grimma | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 8 | 6 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 14 |
| Wins | 75% | 83% | 79% | 17% | 25% | 21% |
| Draws | 0% | 17% | 7% | 17% | 25% | 21% |
| Loses | 25% | 0% | 14% | 67% | 50% | 57% |
Form: SC Freital: WLWWWWDWWWWWWL • FC Grimma: LLLWDDWLLWLLLD
League goals
| Metric | SC Freital | FC Grimma | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 14 | 16 | 30 | 11 | 11 | 22 |
| GF avg | 1.8 | 2.7 | 2.1 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| GA total | 4 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 18 | 34 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 2.7 | 2.3 | 2.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | SC Freital | FC Grimma | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 93% | 43% | 79% | 79% |
| 1.5 | 64% | 14% | 50% | 71% |
| 2.5 | 36% | 0% | 21% | 43% |
| 3.5 | 14% | 0% | 7% | 21% |
| 4.5 | 7% | 0% | 0% | 14% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | SC Freital | FC Grimma | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | SC Freital | FC Grimma |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | SC Freital | FC Grimma |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 6 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 0-5 | 3-2 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | — | 2-4 | 7-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 5 | 3 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 |
Model comparison
| Metric | SC Freital | FC Grimma |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 75% | 25% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 86% | 14% |
| Poisson Distribution | 84% | 16% |
| H2h | 71% | 29% |
| Goals | 67% | 33% |
| Total | 72.2% | 27.8% |
Advice: Double chance : SC Freital or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): SC Freital = 2.30 (league 1.80), FC Grimma = 0.42 (league 1.68)
| FC Grimma | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| SC Freital | 0 | 6.6% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 15.2% | 6.3% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 17.5% | 7.3% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 13.4% | 5.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 7.7% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 77.1% · Draw 14.7% · Away win 5.2%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1