Wed, Apr 15 2026 • 15:00 •
Stadion Noteć Czarnków
Expected Goals
1.44 (league 1.67)
2.03 (league 1.41)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 27.0% | 21.5% | 49.5% |
best score tips
1 - 2
9.2%
1 - 1
9.1%
2 - 2
6.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Lech Poznań II | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Noteć Czarnków | 0 | 3.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| 1 | 4.5% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 1.3% | |
| 2 | 3.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 0.9% | |
| 3 | 1.6% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Noteć Czarnków | Lech Poznań II |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 53% |
| Attack | 42% | 37% |
| Defense | 58% | 74% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
92%
FT probability
2.5+
65%
FT probability
3.5+
46%
FT probability
BTTS
75%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Noteć Czarnków | Lech Poznań II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 13 | 12 | 25 | 13 | 12 | 25 |
| Wins | 38% | 42% | 40% | 46% | 50% | 48% |
| Draws | 23% | 25% | 24% | 23% | 17% | 20% |
| Loses | 38% | 33% | 36% | 31% | 33% | 32% |
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Lech Poznań IIWLLWWWDLWWWWWWLDLLDLLWDDW
League goals
| Metric | Noteć Czarnków | Lech Poznań II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 19 | 18 | 37 | 25 | 26 | 51 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.9 | 2.2 | 2.0 |
| GA total | 17 | 19 | 36 | 16 | 19 | 35 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Noteć Czarnków | Lech Poznań II | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 64% | 72% | 84% | 84% |
| 1.5 | 44% | 40% | 60% | 36% |
| 2.5 | 24% | 20% | 36% | 16% |
| 3.5 | 8% | 8% | 16% | 4% |
| 4.5 | 4% | 4% | 4% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Noteć Czarnków | Lech Poznań II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 5 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Noteć Czarnków | Lech Poznań II |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Noteć Czarnków | Lech Poznań II |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 6 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 2-6 | 6-0 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 2-4 | 5-0 | 0-2 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 6 | 6 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 5 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Noteć Czarnków | Lech Poznań II |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 53% | 47% |
| Def | 38% | 62% |
| Poisson Distribution | 43% | 57% |
| H2h | 80% | 20% |
| Goals | 67% | 33% |
| Total | 55.2% | 44.8% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Noteć Czarnków
vs
Lech Poznań II
Expected goals
1.44
Noteć Czarnków xG
League Avg: 1.67
Total
3.46
2.03
Lech Poznań II xG
League Avg: 1.41
1x2 probabilities
Home
27.0%
Draw
21.5%
Away
49.5%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 2
9.2%
Tip
1 - 1
9.1%
Tip
2 - 2
6.6%
More chances
1.5+
92%
Chance
2.5+
65%
Chance
3.5+
46%
Chance
BTTS
75%
Chance
🟨 Cards
—
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Noteć Czarnków = 1.44 (league 1.67), Lech Poznań II = 2.03 (league 1.41)
| Lech Poznań II | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Noteć Czarnków | 0 | 3.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| 1 | 4.5% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 1.3% | |
| 2 | 3.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 0.9% | |
| 3 | 1.6% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 27.0% · Draw 21.5% · Away win 49.5%
vtt 1 , vtd1