Pogoń Szczecin II 4-0 Elana Toruń: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Pogoń Szczecin II 4-0 Elana Toruń: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review | footywow

🏆 III Liga - Group 2 🌍 Poland

Wed, May 13 2026 · 15:00

Pogoń Szczecin II

4 - 0

Elana Toruń

🏆 III Liga - Group 2

🌍 Poland

🏟️ TBA

Pre-Match Predictions

Expected Goals

Home

1.85

League avg: 1.70

Both

3.60

League avg: 3.30

Away

1.75

League avg: 1.60

1X2 Probability

Home

32%

ELO-based: 33%

Draw

20%

ELO-based: 24%

Away

48%

ELO-based: 43%

Goal Probability

2.5+

70%

3.5+

50%

BTTS

79%

Best Score Tips

1 - 19%

2 - 18%

1 - 28%

Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Post-match analysis: Pogoń Szczecin II vs Elana Toruń

This full-time post-match analysis compares the pre-match prediction signals, 1X2 probabilities, expected goals, goal markets, BTTS angle, score tips, final score and available full-time match stats for Pogoń Szczecin II vs Elana Toruń.

Prediction review loading: the final-score comparison and full-time stats assessment are prepared from the fixture data on this page.

FT Score Probability Grid

		Elana Toruń
		0	1	2	3	4
Pogoń Szczecin II	0	2.7%	4.8%	4.2%	2.4%	1.1%
	1	5.1%	8.8%	7.7%	4.5%	2.0%
	2	4.7%	8.2%	7.2%	4.2%	1.8%
	3	2.9%	5.0%	4.4%	2.6%	1.1%
	4	1.3%	2.3%	2.0%	1.2%	0.5%

ELO Overview

Home

1477+22

League

1508±0

Away

1522-49

ELO Verdict

Away edge, Medium confidence, medium upset risk

ELO	Overall	Form	H/A	Attack	Defense	Last 5 +-
Pogoń Szczecin II	1477	1482	1500	1658	1420	+22
Elana Toruń	1522	1491	1532	1551	1484	-49

League Snapshot

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	Form
Pogoń Szczecin II	16	30	29	8	5	17	52	63	LLDDW
Elana Toruń	5	30	49	14	7	9	47	39	DLDLL

Recent Team Form

Team	Played	Form	Attack	Defense	GF avg	GA avg
Pogoń Szczecin II	5	33%	67%	25%	1.6	1.8
Elana Toruń	5	13%	42%	17%	1.0	2.0

Goal Trends

Team	GF H	GF A	GF Tot	GA H	GA A	GA Tot
Pogoń Szczecin II	2.5	1.0	1.7	1.9	2.3	2.1
Elana Toruń	1.5	1.6	1.6	1.4	1.2	1.3

Goals Trends, home + away avg.

Teams	GF	GF H/A	GA	GA H/A
Pogoń Szczecin II	1.7	2.5	2.1	1.9
Elana Toruń	1.6	1.6	1.3	1.2

Goal Minutes

Min	Home For	Away For	Home Against	Away Against
0-15	23.08%	14.89%	12.70%	15.38%
16-30	13.46%	14.89%	14.29%	15.38%
31-45	19.23%	12.77%	23.81%	17.95%
46-60	13.46%	19.15%	9.52%	12.82%
61-75	13.46%	12.77%	23.81%	23.08%
76-90	17.31%	25.53%	15.87%	15.38%

Team Comparison

71%

Form

29%

62%

Attack

38%

53%

Defense

47%

46%

Poisson

54%

38%

H2H

62%

33%

Goals

67%

51%

Total

Biggest Results

Team	Win H	Win A	Loss H	Loss A	GF H/A	GA H/A
Pogoń Szczecin II	5-0	0-2	3-4	6-0	5 / 3	4 / 6
Elana Toruń	5-1	2-5	0-3	4-2	5 / 5	4 / 4

Clean sheets & failed to score

Team	CS	CS H	CS A	FTS	FTS H	FTS A
Pogoń Szczecin II	3	2	1	7	0	7
Elana Toruń	9	3	6	6	3	3

Penalties

Team	Scored	Scored %	Missed	Missed %	Won	Committed
Pogoń Szczecin II	2	100.00%	0	0%	—	—
Elana Toruń	3	100.00%	0	0%	—	—

Recent H2H

Date	Home	Score	Away
2025-10-25	Elana Toruń	1 - 2 FT	Pogoń Szczecin II
2024-11-24	Pogoń Szczecin II	0 - 0 FT	Elana Toruń
2024-08-03	Elana Toruń	0 - 0 FT	Pogoń Szczecin II
2024-05-18	Pogoń Szczecin II	0 - 2 FT	Elana Toruń
2023-10-28	Elana Toruń	1 - 0 FT	Pogoń Szczecin II
2022-05-28	Pogoń Szczecin II	—	Elana Toruń

Best Odds Snapshot

Market	Best odd	Bookmaker
Home win	1.67	Homepage market
Draw	3.75	Homepage market
Away win	4.10	Homepage market
2.5 goals market	1.65	Homepage market

Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.

Match Events

Min	Team	Player	Type	Detail
88'	Pogoń Szczecin II	B. Kusmierczyk	Goal	Normal Goal
66'	Pogoń Szczecin II	R. Jakubowski	Goal	Normal Goal
38'	Pogoń Szczecin II	K. Smolinski	Goal	Normal Goal
19'	Pogoń Szczecin II	M. Osowski	Goal	Normal Goal

League Standings

Local standings cache · III Liga - Group 2 2025

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Form
Zawisza Bydgoszcz Promotion	1	31	71	22	5	4	65	21	44	WWLWW
Luzino Promotion Playoffs	2	31	70	22	4	5	71	35	36	WWWDW
Polonia Środa	3	31	57	17	6	8	59	41	18	LWLDL
Lech Poznań II	4	31	49	14	7	10	64	45	19	LDWDW
Elana Toruń	5	31	49	14	7	10	47	43	4	LLLDL
Flota Świnoujście	6	31	48	14	6	11	47	47	0	WLWDL
Wda Świecie	7	32	48	14	6	12	42	50	-8	LLWWD
Kluczevia Stargard	8	32	46	13	7	12	51	38	13	LLLWD
Lipno Stęszew	9	31	45	13	6	12	40	45	-5	WLWWW
Noteć Czarnków	10	31	42	12	5	14	42	44	-2	WLLLL
Unia Swarzędz	11	31	41	11	8	12	37	36	1	WWDDW
Victoria Września	12	32	39	12	3	17	38	42	-4	WLLWD
Stargard Szczeciński	13	31	38	10	8	13	48	49	-1	DWDLL
Cartusia Kartuzy	14	32	37	11	4	17	38	49	-11	LLDLL
Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce	15	32	36	9	9	14	31	44	-13	WDWLW
Pogoń Szczecin II Relegation	16	31	32	9	5	17	56	63	-7	WWDDL
Tłuchowia Relegation	17	32	28	7	6	18	31	60	-29	WWLDD
Wybrzeże Rewalskie Rewal Relegation	18	31	15	3	6	22	18	73	-55	LLLDD