Tłuchowia 3-1 Lech Poznań II: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review | footywow
FT
Wed, May 13 2026 · 15:00
FT
🌍 Poland
🏟️ TBA
Pre-Match Predictions
Expected Goals
Home
1.15
League avg: 0.90
Both
2.95
League avg: 3.00
Away
1.80
League avg: 2.10
1X2 Probability
Home
10%
ELO-based: 27%
Draw
16%
ELO-based: 24%
Away
74%
ELO-based: 49%
Goal Probability
2.5+
61%
3.5+
44%
BTTS
71%
Best Score Tips
1 - 111%
1 - 210%
0 - 19%
Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Post-match analysis: Tłuchowia vs Lech Poznań II

This full-time post-match analysis compares the pre-match prediction signals, 1X2 probabilities, expected goals, goal markets, BTTS angle, score tips, final score and available full-time match stats for Tłuchowia vs Lech Poznań II.

Prediction review loading: the final-score comparison and full-time stats assessment are prepared from the fixture data on this page.
FT Score Probability Grid
Lech Poznań II
01234
Tłuchowia 0 5.2% 9.4% 8.5% 5.1% 2.3%
1 6.0% 10.8% 9.8% 5.9% 2.6%
2 3.5% 6.2% 5.6% 3.4% 1.5%
3 1.3% 2.4% 2.1% 1.3% 0.6%
4 0.4% 0.7% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2%
ELO Overview
Home
1433+32
League
1508±0
Away
1533-4
ELO Verdict
Away edge, High confidence, low upset risk
ELOOverallFormH/AAttackDefenseLast 5 +-
Tłuchowia14331446145614301399+32
Lech Poznań II15331537150516541496-4
League Snapshot
TeamPosMPPtsWDLGFGAForm
Tłuchowia17302257182658LLDDL
Lech Poznań II4304914796342LWDWD
Recent Team Form
TeamPlayedFormAttackDefenseGF avgGA avg
Tłuchowia 5 13% 42% 0% 1.0 2.4
Lech Poznań II 5 53% 100% 42% 2.4 1.4
Goal Trends
TeamGF HGF AGF TotGA HGA AGA Tot
Tłuchowia 0.8 0.9 0.9 1.7 2.1 1.9
Lech Poznań II 2.3 1.9 2.1 1.3 1.5 1.4
Goals Trends, home + away avg.
TeamsGFGF H/AGAGA H/A
Tłuchowia 0.9 0.8 1.9 1.7
Lech Poznań II 2.1 1.9 1.4 1.5
Goal Minutes
MinHome ForAway ForHome AgainstAway Against
0-15 20.69% 12.50% 5.45% 14.29%
16-30 17.24% 14.06% 10.91% 14.29%
31-45 17.24% 18.75% 18.18% 4.76%
46-60 6.90% 20.31% 27.27% 23.81%
61-75 27.59% 15.63% 10.91% 7.14%
76-90 10.34% 18.75% 27.27% 35.71%
Team Comparison
2%
Form
8%
29%
Attack
71%
37%
Defense
63%
24%
Poisson
76%
%
H2H
1%
33%
Goals
67%
29%
Total
71%
Biggest Results
TeamWin HWin ALoss HLoss AGF H/AGA H/A
Tłuchowia 3-1 0-2 1-4 6-2 3 / 3 4 / 6
Lech Poznań II 6-0 1-4 0-2 3-1 6 / 4 3 / 4
Clean sheets & failed to score
TeamCSCS HCS AFTSFTS HFTS A
Tłuchowia 7 3 4 13 7 6
Lech Poznań II 5 2 3 5 1 4
Penalties
TeamScoredScored %MissedMissed %WonCommitted
Tłuchowia 3 100.00% 0 0%
Lech Poznań II 2 100.00% 0 0%
Recent H2H
DateHomeScoreAway
2025-10-26 Lech Poznań II 2 - 1 FT Tłuchowia
Best Odds Snapshot
MarketBest oddBookmaker
Home win 3.90 Homepage market
Draw 4.20 Homepage market
Away win 1.60 Homepage market
2.5 goals market 1.50 Homepage market
Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.
Match Events
MinTeamPlayerTypeDetail
83' Tłuchowia E. Jarzebski Goal Normal Goal
62' Tłuchowia D. Kieplin Goal Normal Goal
51' Tłuchowia D. Figura Goal Normal Goal
20' Lech Poznań II F. Warciarek Goal Normal Goal
League Standings
Local standings cache · III Liga - Group 2 2025
TeamPosMPPtsWDLGFGAGDForm
Zawisza Bydgoszcz Promotion 1 31 71 22 5 4 65 21 44 WWLWW
Luzino Promotion Playoffs 2 31 70 22 4 5 71 35 36 WWWDW
Polonia Środa 3 31 57 17 6 8 59 41 18 LWLDL
Lech Poznań II 4 31 49 14 7 10 64 45 19 LDWDW
Elana Toruń 5 31 49 14 7 10 47 43 4 LLLDL
Flota Świnoujście 6 31 48 14 6 11 47 47 0 WLWDL
Wda Świecie 7 32 48 14 6 12 42 50 -8 LLWWD
Kluczevia Stargard 8 32 46 13 7 12 51 38 13 LLLWD
Lipno Stęszew 9 31 45 13 6 12 40 45 -5 WLWWW
Noteć Czarnków 10 31 42 12 5 14 42 44 -2 WLLLL
Unia Swarzędz 11 31 41 11 8 12 37 36 1 WWDDW
Victoria Września 12 32 39 12 3 17 38 42 -4 WLLWD
Stargard Szczeciński 13 31 38 10 8 13 48 49 -1 DWDLL
Cartusia Kartuzy 14 32 37 11 4 17 38 49 -11 LLDLL
Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce 15 32 36 9 9 14 31 44 -13 WDWLW
Pogoń Szczecin II Relegation 16 31 32 9 5 17 56 63 -7 WWDDL
Tłuchowia Relegation 17 32 28 7 6 18 31 60 -29 WWLDD
Wybrzeże Rewalskie Rewal Relegation 18 31 15 3 6 22 18 73 -55 LLLDD