Sun, Nov 9 2025 • 11:00 •
Estádio Municipal de Bragança
Expected Goals
1.87 (league 1.61)
1.11 (league 1.08)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 53.9% | 22.5% | 22.2% |
best score tips
1 - 1
10.6%
2 - 1
9.9%
1 - 0
9.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Machico | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Bragança | 0 | 5.1% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 9.5% | 10.6% | 5.8% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 8.9% | 9.9% | 5.5% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 5.5% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 2.6% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Bragança | Machico |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 13% |
| Attack | 75% | 100% |
| Defense | 0% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
76%
FT probability
2.5+
54%
FT probability
3.5+
38%
FT probability
BTTS
72%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Bragança | Machico | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| Wins | 75% | 25% | 50% | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Draws | 25% | 0% | 13% | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Loses | 0% | 75% | 38% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
Form: Bragança: DWWLWLWL • Machico: WWLDDLLL
League goals
| Metric | Bragança | Machico | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 6 | 3 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 9 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 1.5 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 3 | 7 | 10 | 3 | 8 | 11 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 2.0 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Bragança | Machico | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 75% | 75% | 63% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 38% | 38% | 38% | 38% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 13% | 13% | 25% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Bragança | Machico | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Bragança | Machico |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Bragança | Machico |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 1-2 | 3-1 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | — | 3-0 | 0-1 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Bragança | Machico |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 75% | 25% |
| Att | 43% | 57% |
| Def | 54% | 46% |
| Poisson Distribution | 62% | 38% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 58.5% | 41.5% |
Advice: Double chance : Bragança or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Bragança = 1.87 (league 1.61), Machico = 1.11 (league 1.08)
| Machico | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Bragança | 0 | 5.1% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 9.5% | 10.6% | 5.8% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 8.9% | 9.9% | 5.5% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 5.5% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 2.6% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 53.9% · Draw 22.5% · Away win 22.2%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1