Sat, Dec 13 2025 • 15:30 •
Campo Municipal Manuel Linhares Lima
Expected Goals
1.99 (league 1.08)
0.54 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 70.3% | 19.1% | 9.0% |
best score tips
1 - 0
15.8%
2 - 0
15.8%
3 - 0
10.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Marinhense | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Lajense | 0 | 7.9% | 4.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 15.8% | 8.5% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 15.8% | 8.5% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 10.5% | 5.7% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 5.2% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Lajense | Marinhense |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 20% |
| Attack | 38% | 13% |
| Defense | 25% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 1 | 0.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
64%
FT probability
2.5+
45%
FT probability
3.5+
32%
FT probability
BTTS
63%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Lajense | Marinhense | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 11 |
| Wins | 20% | 40% | 30% | 20% | 17% | 18% |
| Draws | 40% | 20% | 30% | 60% | 33% | 45% |
| Loses | 40% | 40% | 40% | 20% | 50% | 36% |
Form: Lajense: LWWDDLLDLW • Marinhense: WDDLLWLDLDD
League goals
| Metric | Lajense | Marinhense | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 6 | 6 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.5 |
| GA total | 6 | 6 | 12 | 3 | 11 | 14 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 1.8 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Lajense | Marinhense | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 70% | 80% | 55% | 64% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 30% | 0% | 27% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 10% | 0% | 27% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 9% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Lajense | Marinhense | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Lajense | Marinhense |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Lajense | Marinhense |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 0-2 | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 2-3 | 2-0 | 0-1 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Lajense | Marinhense |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 57% | 43% |
| Att | 75% | 25% |
| Def | 57% | 43% |
| Poisson Distribution | 75% | 25% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 66.0% | 34.0% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Lajense or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Lajense = 1.99 (league 1.08), Marinhense = 0.54 (league 1.11)
| Marinhense | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Lajense | 0 | 7.9% | 4.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 15.8% | 8.5% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 15.8% | 8.5% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 10.5% | 5.7% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 5.2% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 70.3% · Draw 19.1% · Away win 9.0%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1