Sun, Mar 8 2026 • 12:00 •
Campo Municipal Manuel Linhares Lima
Expected Goals
2.42 (league 1.12)
2.13 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 42.0% | 19.1% | 33.1% |
best score tips
2 - 2
7.0%
2 - 1
6.6%
1 - 2
5.8%
Score & goals probability table
| UD da Serra | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Lajense | 0 | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 2.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 0.9% | |
| 2 | 3.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 1.1% | |
| 3 | 2.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.9% | |
| 4 | 1.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.6% | |
| 5 | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Lajense | UD da Serra |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 67% |
| Attack | 69% | 62% |
| Defense | 31% | 77% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
83%
FT probability
2.5+
58%
FT probability
3.5+
41%
FT probability
BTTS
72%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Lajense | UD da Serra | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 10 | 10 | 20 | 11 | 8 | 19 |
| Wins | 30% | 20% | 25% | 45% | 38% | 42% |
| Draws | 30% | 40% | 35% | 55% | 13% | 37% |
| Loses | 40% | 40% | 40% | 0% | 50% | 21% |
Form: Lajense: LWWDDLLDLWLWDLDDWLLD • UD da Serra: WDWWLDLWWDDLDDLWDWW
League goals
| Metric | Lajense | UD da Serra | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 15 | 11 | 26 | 15 | 14 | 29 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 13 | 15 | 28 | 5 | 14 | 19 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 1.8 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Lajense | UD da Serra | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 70% | 90% | 68% | 58% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 40% | 47% | 26% |
| 2.5 | 5% | 10% | 16% | 16% |
| 3.5 | 5% | 0% | 16% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 5% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Lajense | UD da Serra | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Lajense | UD da Serra |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Lajense | UD da Serra |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 0-2 | 4-1 | 3-5 |
| Biggest losses | 2-3 | 2-0 | — | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 2 | 4 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Lajense | UD da Serra |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 33% | 67% |
| Att | 53% | 47% |
| Def | 25% | 75% |
| Poisson Distribution | 47% | 53% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 0% | 100% |
| Total | 39.5% | 60.5% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or UD da Serra
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Lajense = 2.42 (league 1.12), UD da Serra = 2.13 (league 1.10)
| UD da Serra | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Lajense | 0 | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 2.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 0.9% | |
| 2 | 3.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 1.1% | |
| 3 | 2.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.9% | |
| 4 | 1.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.6% | |
| 5 | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 42.0% · Draw 19.1% · Away win 33.1%
vtt 1 , vtd1