Sun, Mar 8 2026 • 15:00 •
Campo da Gandarada
Expected Goals
0.98 (league 1.12)
0.41 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 48.9% | 35.9% | 15.2% |
best score tips
0 - 0
24.7%
1 - 0
24.3%
2 - 0
12.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Fátima | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Mortágua | 0 | 24.7% | 10.2% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 24.3% | 10.1% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.0% | 5.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Mortágua | Fátima |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 80% | 40% |
| Attack | 42% | 58% |
| Defense | 83% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
53%
FT probability
2.5+
37%
FT probability
3.5+
26%
FT probability
BTTS
56%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Mortágua | Fátima | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 8 | 11 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 19 |
| Wins | 38% | 55% | 47% | 33% | 20% | 26% |
| Draws | 38% | 18% | 26% | 44% | 30% | 37% |
| Loses | 25% | 27% | 26% | 22% | 50% | 37% |
Form: Mortágua: DDWWLLDWDDWLWLWWWWL • Fátima: LDLWWWLLLWDDLDWLDDD
League goals
| Metric | Mortágua | Fátima | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 8 | 11 | 19 | 12 | 5 | 17 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.9 |
| GA total | 7 | 11 | 18 | 10 | 11 | 21 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Mortágua | Fátima | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 68% | 58% | 63% | 63% |
| 1.5 | 26% | 21% | 21% | 37% |
| 2.5 | 5% | 11% | 5% | 11% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 5% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Mortágua | Fátima | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Mortágua | Fátima |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Mortágua | Fátima |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 1-3 | 3-1 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 4-0 | 1-3 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Mortágua | Fátima |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 67% | 33% |
| Att | 42% | 58% |
| Def | 75% | 25% |
| Poisson Distribution | 66% | 34% |
| H2h | 88% | 13% |
| Goals | 83% | 17% |
| Total | 70.2% | 30.0% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Mortágua or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Mortágua = 0.98 (league 1.12), Fátima = 0.41 (league 1.09)
| Fátima | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Mortágua | 0 | 24.7% | 10.2% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 24.3% | 10.1% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.0% | 5.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 48.9% · Draw 35.9% · Away win 15.2%
vtt 1 , vtd1