Sun, Mar 8 2026 • 15:00 •
Estádio da Torrinha
Expected Goals
0.68 (league 1.32)
1.54 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 16.3% | 25.5% | 57.6% |
best score tips
0 - 1
16.7%
0 - 2
12.9%
1 - 1
11.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Atlético Malveira | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Moncarapachense | 0 | 10.8% | 16.7% | 12.9% | 6.6% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| 1 | 7.4% | 11.4% | 8.8% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Moncarapachense | Atlético Malveira |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 47% |
| Attack | 36% | 57% |
| Defense | 50% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
63%
FT probability
2.5+
44%
FT probability
3.5+
31%
FT probability
BTTS
67%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Moncarapachense | Atlético Malveira | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 10 | 10 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 20 |
| Wins | 20% | 20% | 20% | 55% | 44% | 50% |
| Draws | 50% | 40% | 45% | 27% | 44% | 35% |
| Loses | 30% | 40% | 35% | 18% | 11% | 15% |
Form: Moncarapachense: LDWDDDWLLDDLLWDLDDLW • Atlético Malveira: DLWWWDWWDDWDWDWLDWLW
League goals
| Metric | Moncarapachense | Atlético Malveira | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 9 | 6 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 29 |
| GF avg | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 11 | 8 | 19 | 9 | 9 | 18 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Moncarapachense | Atlético Malveira | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 55% | 70% | 85% | 65% |
| 1.5 | 15% | 20% | 45% | 25% |
| 2.5 | 5% | 5% | 10% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 5% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Moncarapachense | Atlético Malveira | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 5 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Moncarapachense | Atlético Malveira |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Moncarapachense | Atlético Malveira |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 3 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-2 | 1-2 | 4-2 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 2-1 | 1-2 | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Moncarapachense | Atlético Malveira |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 42% | 58% |
| Att | 38% | 62% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 30% | 70% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 0% | 100% |
| Total | 40.0% | 60.0% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Atlético Malveira
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Moncarapachense = 0.68 (league 1.32), Atlético Malveira = 1.54 (league 1.14)
| Atlético Malveira | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Moncarapachense | 0 | 10.8% | 16.7% | 12.9% | 6.6% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| 1 | 7.4% | 11.4% | 8.8% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 16.3% · Draw 25.5% · Away win 57.6%
vtt 1 , vtd1