Sun, Nov 9 2025 • 23:00 • Estadio Akron
Not Started
Expected Goals
2.36 (league 1.65) 0.41 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
77.9% 13.9% 4.8%
best score tips
2 - 0
17.5%
1 - 0
14.8%
3 - 0
13.8%
Score & goals probability table
Dorados
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tapatío 0 6.3% 2.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 14.8% 6.0% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 17.5% 7.1% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 13.8% 5.6% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 8.1% 3.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 3.8% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTapatíoDorados
Played55
Form7%13%
Attack21%21%
Defense50%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.63 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

75%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Tapatío Dorados
HATHAT
Played67137613
Wins33%14%23%14%0%8%
Draws17%29%23%29%0%15%
Loses50%57%54%57%100%77%

Form: Tapatío: WWLDWLLDLLDLL • Dorados: LLWLLLLLLLDLD

League goals

Metric Tapatío Dorados
HATHAT
GF total10616527
GF avg1.70.91.20.70.30.5
GA total981781422
GA avg1.51.11.31.12.31.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTapatíoDorados
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.569%77%46%85%
1.538%38%8%54%
2.515%15%0%31%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTapatíoDorados
HATHAT
Clean sheets213202
Failed to score134347

Penalties

MetricTapatíoDorados
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total51

Streaks

MetricTapatíoDorados
Wins21
Draws11
Losses27

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-31-0
Biggest losses1-32-12-33-0
Goals For3321
Goals Against3233

Model comparison

MetricTapatíoDorados
Form33%67%
Att50%50%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution86%14%
H2h71%29%
Goals69%31%
Total59.8%40.2%

Advice: Double chance : Tapatío or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.53 @ Bet365
Draw4.60 @ Unibet
Away5.91 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.67 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.38 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ William Hill
No2.05 @ 10Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Tapatío = 2.36 (league 1.65), Dorados = 0.41 (league 1.10)

Dorados
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tapatío 0 6.3% 2.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 14.8% 6.0% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 17.5% 7.1% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 13.8% 5.6% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 8.1% 3.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 3.8% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 77.9% · Draw 13.9% · Away win 4.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1