Sun, Nov 9 2025 • 14:00 • Stadio Igor Crescentini
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.45 (league 1.34) 1.67 (league 1.34)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
9.4% 22.8% 67.1%
best score tips
0 - 1
20.1%
0 - 2
16.8%
0 - 0
12.0%
Score & goals probability table
San Giovanni
0 1 2 3 4 5
Murata 0 12.0% 20.1% 16.8% 9.4% 3.9% 1.3%
1 5.4% 9.0% 7.5% 4.2% 1.7% 0.6%
2 1.2% 2.0% 1.7% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%
3 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMurataSan Giovanni
Played55
Form33%20%
Attack54%31%
Defense15%31%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.29 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

82%
FT probability

2.5+

58%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Murata San Giovanni
HATHAT
Played448358
Wins0%25%13%0%20%13%
Draws25%50%38%67%0%25%
Loses75%25%50%33%80%63%

Form: Murata: LDLLDWLD • San Giovanni: DLDLLLWL

League goals

Metric Murata San Giovanni
HATHAT
GF total189145
GF avg0.32.01.10.30.80.6
GA total1161741014
GA avg2.81.52.11.32.01.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMurataSan Giovanni
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.563%100%38%88%
1.513%50%13%50%
2.513%25%13%25%
3.513%13%0%13%
4.513%13%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMurataSan Giovanni
HATHAT
Clean sheets000101
Failed to score303235

Penalties

MetricMurataSan Giovanni
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricMurataSan Giovanni
Wins11
Draws11
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—1-5—1-3
Biggest losses0-63-10-34-0
Goals For1513
Goals Against6334

Model comparison

MetricMurataSan Giovanni
Form63%38%
Att64%36%
Def45%55%
Poisson Distribution20%80%
H2h62%38%
Goals63%38%
Total52.8%47.5%

Advice: Double chance : Murata or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.36 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.56 @ 1xBet
Away2.82 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.97 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.90 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.87 @ 1xBet
No2.05 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Murata = 0.45 (league 1.34), San Giovanni = 1.67 (league 1.34)

San Giovanni
0 1 2 3 4 5
Murata 0 12.0% 20.1% 16.8% 9.4% 3.9% 1.3%
1 5.4% 9.0% 7.5% 4.2% 1.7% 0.6%
2 1.2% 2.0% 1.7% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%
3 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 9.4% · Draw 22.8% · Away win 67.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1