Serie B — Italy
Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 17:30 • Stadio San Nicola
Match Finished
1 - 1
Expected Goals
1.39 (league 1.44) 0.46 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
60.1% 27.5% 12.2%
best score tips
1 - 0
21.8%
0 - 0
15.7%
2 - 0
15.2%
Score & goals probability table
Sampdoria
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bari 0 15.7% 7.2% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 21.8% 10.0% 2.3% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
2 15.2% 7.0% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 7.1% 3.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.5% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBariSampdoria
Played44
Form8%0%
Attack9%9%
Defense64%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.52 | 0.5
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 28 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

68%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Bari Sampdoria
HATHAT
Played134224
Wins0%0%0%0%0%0%
Draws100%0%25%0%0%0%
Loses0%100%75%100%100%100%

Form: Bari: LDLL • Sampdoria: LLLL

League goals

Metric Bari Sampdoria
HATHAT
GF total112112
GF avg1.00.30.50.50.50.5
GA total178448
GA avg1.02.32.02.02.02.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBariSampdoria
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%100%50%100%
1.50%75%0%75%
2.50%25%0%25%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBariSampdoria
HATHAT
Clean sheets000000
Failed to score022112

Penalties

MetricBariSampdoria
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricBariSampdoria
Wins00
Draws10
Losses14

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins————
Biggest losses—3-00-23-1
Goals For1111
Goals Against1323

Model comparison

MetricBariSampdoria
Form100%0%
Att50%50%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution77%23%
H2h25%75%
Goals33%67%
Total47.0%53.0%

Advice: Double chance : Bari or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.34 @ 1xBet
Draw3.22 @ Marathonbet
Away3.40 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.01 @ 188Bet
No1.87 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.32 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.65 @ Marathonbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Bari = 1.39 (league 1.44), Sampdoria = 0.46 (league 1.09)

Sampdoria
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bari 0 15.7% 7.2% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 21.8% 10.0% 2.3% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
2 15.2% 7.0% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 7.1% 3.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.5% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 60.1% · Draw 27.5% · Away win 12.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1