Serie B — Italy
Sun, Mar 8 2026 • 16:15 • Stadio dei Marmi
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.06 (league 1.46) 1.24 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
31.3% 28.3% 40.1%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.2%
0 - 1
12.5%
1 - 0
10.7%
Score & goals probability table
Palermo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Carrarese 0 10.1% 12.5% 7.7% 3.2% 1.0% 0.2%
1 10.7% 13.2% 8.2% 3.4% 1.0% 0.3%
2 5.6% 7.0% 4.3% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
3 2.0% 2.5% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCarraresePalermo
Played55
Form13%67%
Attack33%100%
Defense33%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.812 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.66 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

72%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Carrarese Palermo
HATHAT
Played141428151328
Wins36%14%25%73%31%54%
Draws43%36%39%20%46%32%
Loses21%50%36%7%23%14%

Form: Carrarese: WDDLDDWDWLLDDLLWLDWWWLDLLLDD • Palermo: WDWWDDWDLLWLDWWWDWDWDWWDWWLW

League goals

Metric Carrarese Palermo
HATHAT
GF total191635291948
GF avg1.41.11.31.91.51.7
GA total13274081422
GA avg0.91.91.40.51.10.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCarraresePalermo
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.564%68%79%54%
1.539%43%50%18%
2.521%18%29%7%
3.50%11%7%0%
4.50%4%7%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCarraresePalermo
HATHAT
Clean sheets81910313
Failed to score7310336

Penalties

MetricCarraresePalermo
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total45

Streaks

MetricCarraresePalermo
Wins33
Draws22
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-25-00-3
Biggest losses0-25-00-32-1
Goals For3253
Goals Against4533

Model comparison

MetricCarraresePalermo
Form17%83%
Att25%75%
Def43%57%
Poisson Distribution45%55%
H2h50%50%
Goals25%75%
Total34.2%65.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Palermo

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.73 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.30 @ 188Bet
Away2.24 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.17 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.84 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ Bet365
No2.00 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Carrarese = 1.06 (league 1.46), Palermo = 1.24 (league 1.09)

Palermo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Carrarese 0 10.1% 12.5% 7.7% 3.2% 1.0% 0.2%
1 10.7% 13.2% 8.2% 3.4% 1.0% 0.3%
2 5.6% 7.0% 4.3% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
3 2.0% 2.5% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 31.3% · Draw 28.3% · Away win 40.1%

vtt 1 , vtd1