Serie B — Italy
Sun, Mar 8 2026 • 14:00 • Stadio Nicola Ceravolo
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.98 (league 1.46) 0.91 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
60.7% 21.1% 16.5%
best score tips
1 - 0
11.1%
2 - 0
10.9%
1 - 1
10.0%
Score & goals probability table
Empoli
0 1 2 3 4 5
Catanzaro 0 5.6% 5.1% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
1 11.1% 10.0% 4.5% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.9% 9.9% 4.5% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 7.2% 6.5% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 3.6% 3.2% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.4% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCatanzaroEmpoli
Played55
Form73%20%
Attack100%60%
Defense40%20%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.46 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.28 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Catanzaro Empoli
HATHAT
Played141428151328
Wins50%36%43%20%31%25%
Draws43%29%36%60%8%36%
Loses7%36%21%20%62%39%

Form: Catanzaro: DDDDDDLLWWWLDWWWWWLLDLWWWWDD • Empoli: WLDLDDWDLDLWWWLLWDWLLDLLDDDL

League goals

Metric Catanzaro Empoli
HATHAT
GF total222042201434
GF avg1.61.41.51.31.11.2
GA total131932162339
GA avg0.91.41.11.11.81.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCatanzaroEmpoli
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.579%68%79%79%
1.554%36%25%39%
2.518%11%11%18%
3.50%0%4%4%
4.50%0%4%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCatanzaroEmpoli
HATHAT
Clean sheets639336
Failed to score246246

Penalties

MetricCatanzaroEmpoli
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricCatanzaroEmpoli
Wins53
Draws63
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-35-00-3
Biggest losses0-13-11-34-0
Goals For3353
Goals Against3334

Model comparison

MetricCatanzaroEmpoli
Form79%21%
Att67%33%
Def57%43%
Poisson Distribution68%32%
H2h0%100%
Goals17%83%
Total57.6%42.4%

Advice: Double chance : Catanzaro or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.28 @ 10Bet
Draw3.32 @ Pinnacle
Away3.49 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.99 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.95 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.77 @ 188Bet
No2.24 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Catanzaro = 1.98 (league 1.46), Empoli = 0.91 (league 1.09)

Empoli
0 1 2 3 4 5
Catanzaro 0 5.6% 5.1% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
1 11.1% 10.0% 4.5% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.9% 9.9% 4.5% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 7.2% 6.5% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 3.6% 3.2% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.4% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 60.7% · Draw 21.1% · Away win 16.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1