Serie B — Italy
Sun, Mar 8 2026 • 14:00 • Stadio Danilo Martelli
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.44 (league 1.46) 1.65 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
33.3% 23.8% 41.9%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.8%
1 - 2
8.9%
2 - 1
7.8%
Score & goals probability table
Juve Stabia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mantova 0 4.5% 7.5% 6.2% 3.4% 1.4% 0.5%
1 6.6% 10.8% 8.9% 4.9% 2.0% 0.7%
2 4.7% 7.8% 6.4% 3.5% 1.5% 0.5%
3 2.3% 3.7% 3.1% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2%
4 0.8% 1.3% 1.1% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMantovaJuve Stabia
Played55
Form27%33%
Attack40%50%
Defense30%40%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

75%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Mantova Juve Stabia
HATHAT
Played141428141428
Wins36%14%25%43%21%32%
Draws21%21%21%50%43%46%
Loses43%64%54%7%36%21%

Form: Mantova: LWLLLLDDLLWWWLLLLDDWLDWLLWDL • Juve Stabia: DDDWDWLWDLWLDDLWDWDWWDDWLLDD

League goals

Metric Mantova Juve Stabia
HATHAT
GF total19928181432
GF avg1.40.61.01.31.01.1
GA total251944112132
GA avg1.81.41.60.81.51.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMantovaJuve Stabia
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.564%86%71%64%
1.529%36%36%36%
2.54%21%7%14%
3.54%7%0%0%
4.50%7%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMantovaJuve Stabia
HATHAT
Clean sheets1348210
Failed to score2810358

Penalties

MetricMantovaJuve Stabia
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total54

Streaks

MetricMantovaJuve Stabia
Wins32
Draws23
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-22-01-3
Biggest losses1-53-01-23-0
Goals For4233
Goals Against5333

Model comparison

MetricMantovaJuve Stabia
Form44%56%
Att44%56%
Def46%54%
Poisson Distribution47%53%
H2h36%64%
Goals55%45%
Total45.3%54.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Juve Stabia

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.67 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.30 @ 188Bet
Away2.98 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.24 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.70 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.93 @ 188Bet
No1.97 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Mantova = 1.44 (league 1.46), Juve Stabia = 1.65 (league 1.09)

Juve Stabia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mantova 0 4.5% 7.5% 6.2% 3.4% 1.4% 0.5%
1 6.6% 10.8% 8.9% 4.9% 2.0% 0.7%
2 4.7% 7.8% 6.4% 3.5% 1.5% 0.5%
3 2.3% 3.7% 3.1% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2%
4 0.8% 1.3% 1.1% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 33.3% · Draw 23.8% · Away win 41.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1