Sun, Apr 12 2026 • 17:30 •
MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore
Expected Goals
1.33 (league 1.49)
1.68 (league 1.08)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 30.3% | 23.9% | 44.9% |
best score tips
1 - 1
11.0%
1 - 2
9.2%
0 - 1
8.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Carrarese | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Reggiana | 0 | 4.9% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 6.6% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 0.7% | |
| 2 | 4.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 1.9% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Reggiana | Carrarese |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 7% | 67% |
| Attack | 18% | 82% |
| Defense | 0% | 73% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 12 | 2.4 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
76%
FT probability
2.5+
54%
FT probability
3.5+
38%
FT probability
BTTS
70%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Reggiana | Carrarese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 16 | 17 | 33 | 17 | 16 | 33 |
| Wins | 25% | 18% | 21% | 41% | 19% | 30% |
| Draws | 38% | 18% | 27% | 35% | 38% | 36% |
| Loses | 38% | 65% | 52% | 24% | 44% | 33% |
ReggianaLWDDLDWWLWLDDLWLLLLLLDLWDDWLLLDLL
CarrareseWDDLDDWDWLLDDLLWLDWWWLDLLLDDLDWWW
League goals
| Metric | Reggiana | Carrarese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 17 | 14 | 31 | 24 | 20 | 44 |
| GF avg | 1.1 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 22 | 30 | 52 | 15 | 28 | 43 |
| GA avg | 1.4 | 1.8 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 1.8 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Reggiana | Carrarese | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 70% | 76% | 67% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 15% | 48% | 42% | 36% |
| 2.5 | 9% | 24% | 24% | 15% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 9% | 0% | 9% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 3% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Reggiana | Carrarese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 11 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 6 | 10 | 8 | 3 | 11 |
Penalties
| Metric | Reggiana | Carrarese |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 6 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 6 |
Streaks
| Metric | Reggiana | Carrarese |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 6 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 1-2 | 3-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-4 | 4-1 | 0-2 | 5-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 4 | 4 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Reggiana | Carrarese |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 9% | 91% |
| Att | 18% | 82% |
| Def | 20% | 80% |
| Poisson Distribution | 44% | 56% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 31.8% | 68.2% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home3.79 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.15 @ Dafabet
Away2.26 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.29 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.68 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.95 @ Bet365
No1.90 @ Betano
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Reggiana
vs
Carrarese
Expected goals
1.33
Reggiana xG
League Avg: 1.49
Total
3.01
1.68
Carrarese xG
League Avg: 1.08
1x2 probabilities
Home
30.3%
Draw
23.9%
Away
44.9%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 1
11.0%
Tip
1 - 2
9.2%
Tip
0 - 1
8.3%
More chances
1.5+
76%
Chance
2.5+
54%
Chance
3.5+
38%
Chance
BTTS
70%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 4
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Reggiana = 1.33 (league 1.49), Carrarese = 1.68 (league 1.08)
| Carrarese | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Reggiana | 0 | 4.9% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 6.6% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 0.7% | |
| 2 | 4.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 1.9% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 30.3% · Draw 23.9% · Away win 44.9%
vtt 1 , vtd1