Sat, Apr 18 2026 • 15:15 •
Stadio Renzo Barbera
Expected Goals
1.95 (league 1.46)
0.55 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 69.2% | 19.7% | 9.6% |
best score tips
1 - 0
16.0%
2 - 0
15.6%
3 - 0
10.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Cesena | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Palermo | 0 | 8.2% | 4.5% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 16.0% | 8.8% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 15.6% | 8.6% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 10.1% | 5.6% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.9% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Palermo | Cesena |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 33% |
| Attack | 33% | 33% |
| Defense | 67% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
72%
FT probability
2.5+
51%
FT probability
3.5+
36%
FT probability
BTTS
67%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Palermo | Cesena | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 17 | 17 | 34 | 17 | 17 | 34 |
| Wins | 71% | 35% | 53% | 35% | 35% | 35% |
| Draws | 24% | 41% | 32% | 29% | 18% | 24% |
| Loses | 6% | 24% | 15% | 35% | 47% | 41% |
PalermoWDWWDDWDLLWLDWWWDWDWDWWDWWLWWLDWWD
CesenaWDWWDLLWWWLWLWDWDLLWLLWLLLDLDDLWDL
League goals
| Metric | Palermo | Cesena | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 33 | 22 | 55 | 25 | 17 | 42 |
| GF avg | 1.9 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 10 | 18 | 28 | 25 | 25 | 50 |
| GA avg | 0.6 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Palermo | Cesena | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 79% | 53% | 76% | 85% |
| 1.5 | 47% | 21% | 35% | 38% |
| 2.5 | 24% | 9% | 12% | 21% |
| 3.5 | 6% | 0% | 0% | 3% |
| 4.5 | 6% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Palermo | Cesena | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 11 | 5 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 8 |
Penalties
| Metric | Palermo | Cesena |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 6 | 100.00% | 4 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 6 | 4 |
Streaks
| Metric | Palermo | Cesena |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-0 | 0-3 | 3-0 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 3-0 | 0-4 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Palermo | Cesena |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 62% | 38% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 60% | 40% |
| Poisson Distribution | 78% | 22% |
| H2h | 36% | 64% |
| Goals | 43% | 57% |
| Total | 54.8% | 45.2% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.63 @ Dafabet
Draw4.18 @ Pinnacle
Away5.80 @ 10Bet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.78 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.14 @ SBO
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.80 @ Bet365
No2.00 @ William Hill
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League standings
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