Sat, Dec 13 2025 • 15:00 •
Municipal das Laranjeiras
Expected Goals
1.13 (league 1.24)
0.38 (league 0.96)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 55.1% | 32.6% | 12.2% |
best score tips
1 - 0
25.1%
0 - 0
22.2%
2 - 0
14.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Varzim | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Paredes | 0 | 22.2% | 8.3% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 25.1% | 9.4% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 14.2% | 5.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 5.4% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Paredes | Varzim |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 60% |
| Attack | 30% | 90% |
| Defense | 70% | 40% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
59%
FT probability
2.5+
42%
FT probability
3.5+
30%
FT probability
BTTS
62%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Paredes | Varzim | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 6 | 6 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 12 |
| Wins | 33% | 0% | 17% | 43% | 20% | 33% |
| Draws | 67% | 50% | 58% | 57% | 40% | 50% |
| Loses | 0% | 50% | 25% | 0% | 40% | 17% |
Form: Paredes: LDDDDDWLDWLD • Varzim: WWLDDDLDWDDW
League goals
| Metric | Paredes | Varzim | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 6 | 5 | 11 | 13 | 6 | 19 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 1.9 | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| GA total | 2 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 13 |
| GA avg | 0.3 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 1.4 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Paredes | Varzim | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 58% | 58% | 83% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 25% | 42% | 25% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 25% | 8% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 8% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Paredes | Varzim | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Paredes | Varzim |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 75.00% | 4 | 80.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 1 | 25.00% | 1 | 20.00% |
| Total | 4 | 5 |
Streaks
| Metric | Paredes | Varzim |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 5 | 3 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | — | 4-0 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | — | 2-1 | — | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Paredes | Varzim |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 36% | 64% |
| Att | 25% | 75% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 71% | 29% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 49.8% | 50.2% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Paredes or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Paredes = 1.13 (league 1.24), Varzim = 0.38 (league 0.96)
| Varzim | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Paredes | 0 | 22.2% | 8.3% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 25.1% | 9.4% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 14.2% | 5.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 5.4% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 55.1% · Draw 32.6% · Away win 12.2%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1