Sun, Nov 9 2025 • 14:00 •
BELKAW-Arena
Expected Goals
0.95 (league 2.02)
1.03 (league 1.75)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 32.4% | 31.0% | 36.5% |
best score tips
0 - 1
14.2%
0 - 0
13.8%
1 - 1
13.5%
Score & goals probability table
| SSV Merten | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Bergisch Gladbach | 0 | 13.8% | 14.2% | 7.3% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 13.1% | 13.5% | 7.0% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 6.2% | 6.4% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Bergisch Gladbach | SSV Merten |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 73% | 60% |
| Attack | 87% | 67% |
| Defense | 73% | 73% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 13 | 2.6 | 10 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
86%
FT probability
2.5+
61%
FT probability
3.5+
43%
FT probability
BTTS
71%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Bergisch Gladbach | SSV Merten | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| Wins | 60% | 60% | 60% | 80% | 40% | 60% |
| Draws | 40% | 40% | 40% | 0% | 20% | 10% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 20% | 40% | 30% |
Form: Bergisch Gladbach: WWWDDWDWWD • SSV Merten: WLWDWLWWWL
League goals
| Metric | Bergisch Gladbach | SSV Merten | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 12 | 12 | 24 | 11 | 9 | 20 |
| GF avg | 2.4 | 2.4 | 2.4 | 2.2 | 1.8 | 2.0 |
| GA total | 5 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Bergisch Gladbach | SSV Merten | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 60% | 80% | 70% |
| 1.5 | 80% | 20% | 70% | 20% |
| 2.5 | 20% | 0% | 40% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 20% | 0% | 10% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 10% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Bergisch Gladbach | SSV Merten | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Bergisch Gladbach | SSV Merten |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Bergisch Gladbach | SSV Merten |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 0 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 1-6 | 3-0 | 0-4 |
| Biggest losses | — | — | 1-2 | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 6 | 3 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Bergisch Gladbach | SSV Merten |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 55% | 45% |
| Att | 57% | 43% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 50% | 50% |
| H2h | 80% | 20% |
| Goals | 60% | 40% |
| Total | 58.7% | 41.3% |
Advice: Double chance : Bergisch Gladbach or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Bergisch Gladbach = 0.95 (league 2.02), SSV Merten = 1.03 (league 1.75)
| SSV Merten | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Bergisch Gladbach | 0 | 13.8% | 14.2% | 7.3% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 13.1% | 13.5% | 7.0% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 6.2% | 6.4% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 32.4% · Draw 31.0% · Away win 36.5%
Vtot 3 , Vtod1