Düren Merzenich 2-5 Fortuna Köln II: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Düren Merzenich 2-5 Fortuna Köln II: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review | footywow

🏆 Oberliga - Mittelrhein 🌍 Germany

Sun, Jun 7 2026 · 13:00

Düren Merzenich

2 - 5

Fortuna Köln II

🏆 Oberliga - Mittelrhein

🌍 Germany

🏟️ TBA

Pre-Match Predictions

Expected Goals

Home

1.78

League avg: 1.60

Both

3.55

League avg: 3.60

Away

1.77

League avg: 2.00

1X2 Probability

Home

30%

ELO-based: 33%

Draw

27%

ELO-based: 24%

Away

43%

ELO-based: 43%

Goal Probability

2.5+

62%

3.5+

38%

BTTS

59%

Best Score Tips

1 - 19%

2 - 18%

1 - 28%

Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Post-match analysis: Düren Merzenich vs Fortuna Köln II

This full-time post-match analysis compares the pre-match prediction signals, 1X2 probabilities, expected goals, goal markets, BTTS angle, score tips, final score and available full-time match stats for Düren Merzenich vs Fortuna Köln II.

Prediction review loading: the final-score comparison and full-time stats assessment are prepared from the fixture data on this page.

FT Score Probability Grid

		Fortuna Köln II
		0	1	2	3	4
Düren Merzenich	0	2.9%	5.1%	4.5%	2.7%	1.2%
	1	5.1%	9.0%	8.0%	4.7%	2.1%
	2	4.5%	8.0%	7.1%	4.2%	1.9%
	3	2.7%	4.8%	4.2%	2.5%	1.1%
	4	1.2%	2.1%	1.9%	1.1%	0.5%

ELO Overview

Home

1441-26

League

1495±0

Away

1485-11

ELO Verdict

Away edge, Medium confidence, medium upset risk

ELO	Overall	Form	H/A	Attack	Defense	Last 5 +-
Düren Merzenich	1441	1432	1473	1485	1322	-26
Fortuna Köln II	1485	1474	1514	1598	1465	-11

League Snapshot

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	Form
Düren Merzenich	11	29	38	11	5	13	47	54	WLLWL
Fortuna Köln II	10	29	42	12	6	11	57	45	LLLLW

Recent Team Form

Team	Played	Form	Attack	Defense	GF avg	GA avg
Düren Merzenich	5	40%	31%	75%	2.0	1.6
Fortuna Köln II	5	20%	31%	59%	2.0	2.6

Goal Trends

Team	GF H	GF A	GF Tot	GA H	GA A	GA Tot
Düren Merzenich	1.9	1.3	1.6	1.8	1.9	1.9
Fortuna Köln II	2.0	1.9	2.0	1.6	1.5	1.6

Goals Trends, home + away avg.

Teams	GF	GF H/A	GA	GA H/A
Düren Merzenich	1.6	1.9	1.9	1.8
Fortuna Köln II	2.0	1.9	1.6	1.5

Goal Minutes

Min	Home For	Away For	Home Against	Away Against
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90

Team Comparison

67%

Form

33%

Attack

62%

Defense

38%

41%

Poisson

59%

93%

H2H

94%

Goals

68%

Total

32%

Biggest Results

Team	Win H	Win A	Loss H	Loss A	GF H/A	GA H/A
Düren Merzenich	5-2	0-4	0-6	4-0	5 / 4	6 / 4
Fortuna Köln II	6-1	0-4	0-3	4-2	6 / 4	3 / 4

Clean sheets & failed to score

Team	CS	CS H	CS A	FTS	FTS H	FTS A
Düren Merzenich	7	4	3	8	4	4
Fortuna Köln II	7	3	4	5	4	1

Penalties

Team	Scored	Scored %	Missed	Missed %	Won	Committed
Düren Merzenich	0	0%	0	0%	—	—
Fortuna Köln II	0	0%	0	0%	—	—

Recent H2H

Date	Home	Score	Away
2025-12-14	Fortuna Köln II	0 - 2 FT	Düren Merzenich
2022-04-24	Fortuna Köln II	1 - 7 FT	Düren Merzenich
2021-10-10	Düren Merzenich	4 - 0 FT	Fortuna Köln II
2021-04-01	Düren Merzenich	—	Fortuna Köln II
2020-09-27	Fortuna Köln II	0 - 2 FT	Düren Merzenich

Best Odds Snapshot

Market	Best odd	Bookmaker

Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.

League Standings

Local standings cache · Oberliga - Mittelrhein 2025

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Form
Bergisch Gladbach Promotion Playoffs	1	30	67	20	7	3	85	28	57	WDWWL
Eintracht Hohkeppel	2	30	64	20	4	6	86	36	50	WWWWL
Siegburger SV	3	30	62	19	6	6	75	34	41	LWLWW
SSV Merten	4	30	60	18	6	6	80	28	52	WWWDW
VfL Vichttal	5	30	59	18	6	7	80	43	37	LWWWD
Wegberg-Beeck	6	30	51	15	6	9	62	35	27	WDWDL
Frechen	7	30	50	16	2	12	66	54	12	WWLLW
Bornheim	8	30	46	14	4	12	65	56	9	WLWWW
TuS BW Königsdorf	9	30	46	14	4	12	53	54	-1	WLWLW
Fortuna Köln II	10	30	45	13	6	11	62	47	15	WWLLL
Düren Merzenich	11	30	38	11	5	14	49	59	-10	LLWLL
Hennef 05	12	30	35	11	2	17	45	66	-21	LLWWW
Porz	13	30	25	7	4	19	58	99	-41	LLLLD
Teutonia Weiden Relegation	14	30	16	4	4	22	25	104	-79	LLLLL
SF Düren Relegation	15	30	14	4	2	24	41	103	-62	LLLLL
Pesch Relegation	16	30	8	2	2	26	26	112	-86	LLLWL
Bergisch Gladbach Promotion Playoffs	1	30	67	20	7	3	85	28	57	WDWWL
Eintracht Hohkeppel	2	30	64	20	4	6	86	36	50	WWWWL
Siegburger SV	3	30	63	19	6	5	77	34	43	LWLWW
SSV Merten	4	30	60	18	6	6	80	28	52	WWWDW
VfL Vichttal	5	30	57	17	6	7	79	44	35	LWWWD
Frechen	6	30	50	16	2	12	66	54	12	WWLLW
Wegberg-Beeck	7	29	48	14	6	9	60	35	25	WDWDL
Bornheim	8	30	46	14	4	12	65	55	10	WLWWW
TuS BW Königsdorf	9	30	46	14	4	12	53	54	-1	WLWLW
Fortuna Köln II	10	30	45	13	6	11	62	47	15	WWLLL
Düren Merzenich	11	30	38	11	5	14	49	59	-10	LLWLL
Hennef 05	12	30	35	11	2	17	45	66	-21	LLWWW
Porz	13	30	25	7	4	19	58	99	-41	LLLLD
Teutonia Weiden Relegation	14	30	16	4	4	22	25	105	-80	LLLLL
SF Düren Relegation	15	30	14	4	2	24	41	103	-62	LLLLL
Pesch Relegation	16	29	8	2	2	25	26	110	-84	LLLWL