Sat, Dec 13 2025 • 17:30 • Complexe Sportif de Lautard
Not Started
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Expected Goals
1.51 (league 1.55) 2.48 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
21.9% 18.7% 54.9%
best score tips
1 - 2
8.6%
1 - 3
7.1%
1 - 1
6.9%
Score & goals probability table
Colomiers
0 1 2 3 4 5
Castanet 0 1.9% 4.6% 5.7% 4.7% 2.9% 1.5%
1 2.8% 6.9% 8.6% 7.1% 4.4% 2.2%
2 2.1% 5.2% 6.5% 5.4% 3.3% 1.6%
3 1.1% 2.6% 3.3% 2.7% 1.7% 0.8%
4 0.4% 1.0% 1.2% 1.0% 0.6% 0.3%
5 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCastanetColomiers
Played55
Form33%67%
Attack53%73%
Defense40%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.611 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.810 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

89%
FT probability

2.5+

63%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Castanet Colomiers
HATHAT
Played3586410
Wins0%40%25%67%50%60%
Draws67%20%38%33%25%30%
Loses33%40%38%0%25%10%

Form: Castanet: WLDDLWDL • Colomiers: WDWWDDWWLW

League goals

Metric Castanet Colomiers
HATHAT
GF total461012719
GF avg1.31.21.32.01.81.9
GA total56116713
GA avg1.71.21.41.01.81.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCastanetColomiers
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%63%90%80%
1.538%50%70%40%
2.513%25%30%10%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCastanetColomiers
HATHAT
Clean sheets123202
Failed to score112101

Penalties

MetricCastanetColomiers
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricCastanetColomiers
Wins12
Draws22
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—1-23-02-3
Biggest losses1-23-2—3-1
Goals For3233
Goals Against3323

Model comparison

MetricCastanetColomiers
Form33%67%
Att42%58%
Def53%47%
Poisson Distribution42%58%
H2h40%60%
Goals35%65%
Total40.8%59.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Colomiers and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Castanet = 1.51 (league 1.55), Colomiers = 2.48 (league 1.23)

Colomiers
0 1 2 3 4 5
Castanet 0 1.9% 4.6% 5.7% 4.7% 2.9% 1.5%
1 2.8% 6.9% 8.6% 7.1% 4.4% 2.2%
2 2.1% 5.2% 6.5% 5.4% 3.3% 1.6%
3 1.1% 2.6% 3.3% 2.7% 1.7% 0.8%
4 0.4% 1.0% 1.2% 1.0% 0.6% 0.3%
5 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 21.9% · Draw 18.7% · Away win 54.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1