Sat, Nov 8 2025 • 15:00 • New Manor Ground
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.95 (league 1.48) 1.42 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
25.1% 26.9% 47.6%
best score tips
0 - 1
13.3%
1 - 1
12.6%
0 - 2
9.5%
Score & goals probability table
Ashton United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ilkeston Town 0 9.4% 13.3% 9.5% 4.5% 1.6% 0.5%
1 8.9% 12.6% 9.0% 4.2% 1.5% 0.4%
2 4.2% 6.0% 4.2% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2%
3 1.3% 1.9% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricIlkeston TownAshton United
Played55
Form87%40%
Attack100%75%
Defense25%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)15 | 36 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.211 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

75%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ilkeston Town Ashton United
HATHAT
Played78158614
Wins43%50%47%38%33%36%
Draws14%0%7%25%33%29%
Loses43%50%47%38%33%36%

Form: Ilkeston Town: WLWLLWLLLLWWWDW • Ashton United: WDWLDWDDLLWWLL

League goals

Metric Ilkeston Town Ashton United
HATHAT
GF total1014249817
GF avg1.41.81.61.11.31.2
GA total9112013619
GA avg1.31.41.31.61.01.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineIlkeston TownAshton United
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%80%79%71%
1.553%40%29%29%
2.527%13%14%21%
3.513%0%0%14%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricIlkeston TownAshton United
HATHAT
Clean sheets213314
Failed to score325213

Penalties

MetricIlkeston TownAshton United
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total30

Streaks

MetricIlkeston TownAshton United
Wins32
Draws12
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-43-10-3
Biggest losses0-33-10-42-1
Goals For3433
Goals Against3342

Model comparison

MetricIlkeston TownAshton United
Form68%32%
Att71%29%
Def65%35%
Poisson Distribution39%61%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total57.2%42.8%

Advice: Double chance : Ilkeston Town or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.96 @ Unibet
Draw3.70 @ Betano
Away3.75 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.99 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.05 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.85 @ Superbet
No2.10 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Ilkeston Town = 0.95 (league 1.48), Ashton United = 1.42 (league 1.19)

Ashton United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ilkeston Town 0 9.4% 13.3% 9.5% 4.5% 1.6% 0.5%
1 8.9% 12.6% 9.0% 4.2% 1.5% 0.4%
2 4.2% 6.0% 4.2% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2%
3 1.3% 1.9% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 25.1% · Draw 26.9% · Away win 47.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1