Tue, May 12 2026 • 17:30 •
Mbombela Stadium
Expected Goals
0.35 (league 1.16)
1.49 (league 0.89)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 8.4% | 25.4% | 65.9% |
best score tips
0 - 1
23.8%
0 - 2
17.7%
0 - 0
16.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Mamelodi Sundowns | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| TS Galaxy | 0 | 15.9% | 23.7% | 17.7% | 8.8% | 3.3% | 1.0% |
| 1 | 5.5% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | TS Galaxy | Mamelodi Sundowns |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 20% | 73% |
| Attack | 11% | 67% |
| Defense | 72% | 72% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 12 | 2.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
61%
FT probability
2.5+
43%
FT probability
3.5+
30%
FT probability
BTTS
59%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | TS Galaxy | Mamelodi Sundowns | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 14 | 28 | 15 | 14 | 29 |
| Wins | 36% | 14% | 25% | 80% | 57% | 69% |
| Draws | 21% | 29% | 25% | 20% | 36% | 28% |
| Loses | 43% | 57% | 50% | 0% | 7% | 3% |
TS GalaxyLLWWWDWLLWLWDDWLLLLLDLLLLDDD
Mamelodi SundownsDWWDWWDWLWDWDWWWWWWWWWWDDWWDW
League goals
| Metric | TS Galaxy | Mamelodi Sundowns | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 14 | 13 | 27 | 40 | 15 | 55 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 2.7 | 1.1 | 1.9 |
| GA total | 17 | 19 | 36 | 13 | 5 | 18 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | TS Galaxy | Mamelodi Sundowns | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 54% | 79% | 90% | 52% |
| 1.5 | 29% | 32% | 52% | 3% |
| 2.5 | 11% | 7% | 28% | 3% |
| 3.5 | 4% | 4% | 10% | 3% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 4% | 3% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | TS Galaxy | Mamelodi Sundowns | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 14 |
| Failed to score | 6 | 7 | 13 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | TS Galaxy | Mamelodi Sundowns |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | TS Galaxy | Mamelodi Sundowns |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 10 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 5 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 1-4 | 7-4 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-6 | 2-0 | — | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 4 | 7 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 6 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | TS Galaxy | Mamelodi Sundowns |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 21% | 79% |
| Att | 14% | 86% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 18% | 82% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 45% | 55% |
| Total | 33.0% | 67.0% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home12.00 @ 10Bet
Draw4.78 @ Pinnacle
Away1.38 @ Unibet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.96 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.90 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.35 @ 10Bet
No1.61 @ Unibet
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League standings
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