Sun, Nov 9 2025 • 11:00 • Banús Football Center
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.62 (league 1.29) 0.52 (league 0.93)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
31.7% 43.2% 25.1%
best score tips
0 - 0
32.1%
1 - 0
19.9%
0 - 1
16.6%
Score & goals probability table
Alcorcon
0 1 2 3 4 5
Marbella 0 32.1% 16.6% 4.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.9% 10.3% 2.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 6.2% 3.2% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMarbellaAlcorcon
Played55
Form27%33%
Attack25%17%
Defense50%58%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.62 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

46%
FT probability

2.5+

32%
FT probability

3.5+

23%
FT probability

BTTS

55%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Marbella Alcorcon
HATHAT
Played55105510
Wins40%0%20%20%40%30%
Draws60%40%50%60%20%40%
Loses0%60%30%20%40%30%

Form: Marbella: WDDDDLWLDL • Alcorcon: LWWDDDWLLD

League goals

Metric Marbella Alcorcon
HATHAT
GF total527347
GF avg1.00.40.70.60.80.7
GA total369549
GA avg0.61.20.91.00.80.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMarbellaAlcorcon
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%60%40%70%
1.510%20%30%10%
2.50%10%0%10%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMarbellaAlcorcon
HATHAT
Clean sheets224213
Failed to score134336

Penalties

MetricMarbellaAlcorcon
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricMarbellaAlcorcon
Wins12
Draws43
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-1—2-11-2
Biggest losses—3-10-31-0
Goals For2122
Goals Against1331

Model comparison

MetricMarbellaAlcorcon
Form44%56%
Att60%40%
Def45%55%
Poisson Distribution55%45%
H2h20%80%
Goals40%60%
Total44.0%56.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Alcorcon and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.18 @ Unibet
Draw3.22 @ Pinnacle
Away3.70 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.30 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.66 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.09 @ 188Bet
No1.84 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Marbella = 0.62 (league 1.29), Alcorcon = 0.52 (league 0.93)

Alcorcon
0 1 2 3 4 5
Marbella 0 32.1% 16.6% 4.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.9% 10.3% 2.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 6.2% 3.2% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 31.7% · Draw 43.2% · Away win 25.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1