Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 16:30 • Estadio Anxo Carro
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.52 (league 1.36) 0.59 (league 1.02)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
25.6% 44.0% 30.4%
best score tips
0 - 0
33.2%
0 - 1
19.5%
1 - 0
17.1%
Score & goals probability table
Celta de Vigo II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lugo 0 33.2% 19.5% 5.7% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
1 17.1% 10.1% 3.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 4.4% 2.6% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLugoCelta de Vigo II
Played55
Form47%87%
Attack33%100%
Defense67%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.610 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.63 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

52%
FT probability

2.5+

37%
FT probability

3.5+

26%
FT probability

BTTS

47%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lugo Celta de Vigo II
HATHAT
Played347437
Wins67%0%29%50%67%57%
Draws33%25%29%25%33%29%
Loses0%75%43%25%0%14%

Form: Lugo: LDLWLWD • Celta de Vigo II: DLWWWWD

League goals

Metric Lugo Celta de Vigo II
HATHAT
GF total3144610
GF avg1.00.30.61.02.01.4
GA total145224
GA avg0.31.00.70.50.70.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLugoCelta de Vigo II
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.543%57%57%43%
1.514%14%57%14%
2.50%0%14%0%
3.50%0%14%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLugoCelta de Vigo II
HATHAT
Clean sheets213224
Failed to score134213

Penalties

MetricLugoCelta de Vigo II
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricLugoCelta de Vigo II
Wins14
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-1—2-02-4
Biggest losses—2-10-1—
Goals For2124
Goals Against1212

Model comparison

MetricLugoCelta de Vigo II
Form35%65%
Att23%77%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution45%55%
H2h40%60%
Goals36%64%
Total38.2%61.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Celta de Vigo II and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.30 @ Betfair
Draw3.10 @ Marathonbet
Away3.30 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.55 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.54 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.13 @ 188Bet
No1.73 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Lugo = 0.52 (league 1.36), Celta de Vigo II = 0.59 (league 1.02)

Celta de Vigo II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lugo 0 33.2% 19.5% 5.7% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
1 17.1% 10.1% 3.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 4.4% 2.6% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 25.6% · Draw 44.0% · Away win 30.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1