Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.15 (league 1.36) 2.47 (league 1.02)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
15.9% 17.7% 62.3%
best score tips
1 - 2
9.4%
0 - 2
8.2%
1 - 3
7.7%
Score & goals probability table
Cacereño
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ponferradina 0 2.7% 6.6% 8.2% 6.7% 4.2% 2.1%
1 3.1% 7.6% 9.4% 7.7% 4.8% 2.4%
2 1.8% 4.4% 5.4% 4.4% 2.7% 1.4%
3 0.7% 1.7% 2.1% 1.7% 1.1% 0.5%
4 0.2% 0.5% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPonferradinaCacereño
Played55
Form53%40%
Attack71%57%
Defense57%57%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.63 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

70%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ponferradina Cacereño
HATHAT
Played459459
Wins25%40%33%25%20%22%
Draws0%40%22%50%60%56%
Loses75%20%44%25%20%22%

Form: Ponferradina: WLLLDLWWD • Cacereño: DDLWDLDWD

League goals

Metric Ponferradina Cacereño
HATHAT
GF total5510279
GF avg1.31.01.10.51.41.0
GA total729369
GA avg1.80.41.00.81.21.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePonferradinaCacereño
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%44%56%78%
1.533%33%33%22%
2.511%22%11%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPonferradinaCacereño
HATHAT
Clean sheets145202
Failed to score123314

Penalties

MetricPonferradinaCacereño
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricPonferradinaCacereño
Wins21
Draws12
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-32-11-3
Biggest losses1-32-10-21-0
Goals For2323
Goals Against3222

Model comparison

MetricPonferradinaCacereño
Form57%43%
Att56%44%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution31%69%
H2h100%0%
Goals67%33%
Total52.2%47.8%

Advice: Double chance : Ponferradina or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.89 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.23 @ Pinnacle
Away4.40 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.36 @ Pinnacle
No1.67 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.67 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.49 @ Marathonbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Ponferradina = 1.15 (league 1.36), Cacereño = 2.47 (league 1.02)

Cacereño
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ponferradina 0 2.7% 6.6% 8.2% 6.7% 4.2% 2.1%
1 3.1% 7.6% 9.4% 7.7% 4.8% 2.4%
2 1.8% 4.4% 5.4% 4.4% 2.7% 1.4%
3 0.7% 1.7% 2.1% 1.7% 1.1% 0.5%
4 0.2% 0.5% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 15.9% · Draw 17.7% · Away win 62.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1