Sun, Nov 9 2025 • 17:15 • Estadio Pedro EscartĆ­n
Not Started
—
Expected Goals
0.78 (league 1.34) 0.40 (league 1.01)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
41.5% 41.2% 17.3%
best score tips
0 - 0
30.9%
1 - 0
24.1%
0 - 1
12.2%
Score & goals probability table
Lugo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Guadalajara 0 30.9% 12.2% 2.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 24.1% 9.5% 1.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 9.4% 3.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.4% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGuadalajaraLugo
Played55
Form27%60%
Attack86%71%
Defense0%71%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 22 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

60%
FT probability

2.5+

42%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

50%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Guadalajara Lugo
HATHAT
Played4485510
Wins25%50%38%60%0%30%
Draws0%25%13%40%40%40%
Loses75%25%50%0%60%30%

Form: Guadalajara: LWWWDLLL • Lugo: LDLWLWDWDD

League goals

Metric Guadalajara Lugo
HATHAT
GF total549718
GF avg1.31.01.11.40.20.8
GA total8412347
GA avg2.01.01.50.60.80.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGuadalajaraLugo
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%63%50%50%
1.538%50%30%20%
2.525%25%0%0%
3.50%13%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGuadalajaraLugo
HATHAT
Clean sheets123325
Failed to score224145

Penalties

MetricGuadalajaraLugo
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricGuadalajaraLugo
Wins31
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-32-0—
Biggest losses0-23-0—2-1
Goals For3321
Goals Against4322

Model comparison

MetricGuadalajaraLugo
Form31%69%
Att55%45%
Def17%83%
Poisson Distribution64%36%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total41.8%58.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Lugo and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

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Expected goals (Ī»): Guadalajara = 0.78 (league 1.34), Lugo = 0.40 (league 1.01)

Lugo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Guadalajara 0 30.9% 12.2% 2.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 24.1% 9.5% 1.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 9.4% 3.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.4% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 41.5% Ā· Draw 41.2% Ā· Away win 17.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1